Latest Items by Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco

• Understanding the Employment Patterns of Workers in Low- and Moderate-Income Households
  Holmes, Natalie & Kneebone, Elizabeth
• Accounting for Uncertainty and Risks in Monetary Policy
  Berge, Travis J. & Zhong, Molin & Fiori, Giuseppe & Loria, Francesca & Bauer, Michael D.
• Estimating National Weather Effects from the Ground Up
  Wilson, Daniel J.
• Industry Decline and Household Finances
  Siegel, Sarah & Zhao, Cindy & Blonz, Joshua & Roth Tran, Brigitte & Troland, Erin
• Evaluating Macroeconomic Outcomes Under Asymmetries: Expectations Matter
  Petrosky-Nadeau, Nicolas & Bundick, Brent & Cairó, Isabel
• Will Trade Uncertainty Boost Automation?
  Baskar Prabhakar, Deepika & Leduc, Sylvain & Firooz, Hamid & Liu, Zheng
• Inflation Since the Pandemic: Lessons and Challenges
  Villar Vallenas, Daniel & Hajdini, Ina & Smith, Andrew Lee & Shapiro, Adam Hale
• Monetary Tightening and Financial Stress during Supply- versus Demand-Driven Inflation
  Shapiro, Adam Hale & Collard, Fabrice & Boissay, Frederic & Manea, Cristina
• Asset Prices and Credit with Diagnostic Expectations
  Singh, Sanjay R. & Jordà, Òscar & Cloyne, James & Taylor, Alan M.
• Information Acquisition and the Finance-Uncertainty Trap
  Li, Zhaorui & Hu, Allen & Dong, Ding & Liu, Zheng
• Tracking Labor Market Stress
  Garimella, Rohit & Singh, Sanjay R. & Jordà, Òscar
• A Tale of Two Tightenings
  Voutilainen, Ville & Kwan, Simon H.
• Tracking Business Sentiment in the Western United States
  Oliveira, Luiz E. & Abdelrahman, Hamza & Poduri, Aditi
• Worker and Firm Search in the Labor Market: Evidence from Classified Advertisements
  Woodward, Greg & Bi, Huixin & Petrosky-Nadeau, Nicolas & Traum, Nora
• The Economic Implications of Tariff Increases
  Singh, Aayush & Ulate, Mauricio & Paulson, Caroline M. & Poduri, Aditi
• Incomplete Markets and Exchange Rates
  Marin, Emile A. & Singh, Sanjay R.
• The Zero Lower Bound Remains a Medium-Term Risk
  Cho, Sophia & Mertens, Thomas M. & Williams, John C.
• Dynamic Central Bank Communication
  Daly, Mary C.
• Dynamic Central Bank Communication
  Daly, Mary C.
• Is Demand or Supply More Important for Inflation?
  Lansing, Kevin J.
• Do Local Economic Conditions Influence FOMC Votes?
  Poduri, Aditi & Paulson, Caroline M. & Kamdar, Rupal & Ulate, Mauricio & Bobrov, Anton E.
• Choose and Choose Again
  Daly, Mary C.
• The Effects of Tariffs on Inflation and Production Costs
  Nechio, Fernanda & Hobijn, Bart
• Asset Purchases in a Monetary Union with Default and Liquidity Risks
  Traum, Nora & Foerster, Andrew & Bi, Huixin
• The 2025 Trade War: Dynamic Impacts Across U.S. States and the Global Economy
  Vasquez, Jose P. & Rodríguez-Clare, Andrés & Ulate, Mauricio
• A Rising Star: The Natural Interest Rate in the Euro Area
  Mouabbi, Sarah & Christensen, Jens H. E.
• Demand versus Supply: Which is More Important for Inflation?
  Lansing, Kevin J.
• Underlying Trends in the U.S. Neutral Interest Rate
  Ferrero, Andrea & Mazin, Felipe & Nechio, Fernanda & Carvalho, Carlos
• Pulled Out or Pushed Out? Declining Male Labor Force Participation
  Daly, Mary C. & Duzhak, Evgeniya A. & Zhao, Cindy & Bengali, Leila
• Assessing the Recent Rise in Unemployment
  Miskanic, Brandon E. & Kudlyak, Marianna & Avaradi, Greeshma & Wiczer, David