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Reconciling Recent Strong Output Growth with Rising Unemployment
Krolikowski, Pawel & Jacobs, Dylan C.
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Immigration and the Unemployment Rate in 2023–2024
Hernandez Martinez, Victor & Panzitta, Geena
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Technological Change and Racial Wage Gaps
Dicandia, Vittoria
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A New Model of Trend Inflation Using Disaggregates, Survey Expectations, and Uncertainty
Zaman, Saeed & Tallman, Ellis W.
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Optimal Short-Time Work Policy in Recessions
Stiepelmann, Gero
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Remarks for the Panel: On the Safe-Haven Status of the Dollar
Hammack, Beth
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Residual Seasonality in Some Components of PCE Inflation
Lunsford, Kurt Graden & Hamlette, James
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SORCE Insights: Tracking Productivity in the Fourth District
Huettner, Brett & Gerring, Jayme
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Renter Households amid Rising Rents: 2019–2023
Loewenstein, Lara
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Beyond Banks: Trust Among the Financially Underserved
Zimmerman, Peter & Puzzello, Daniela & Boel, Paola
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West Virginia’s International Trade Relationships
Moseley, Carol & Dunn, Julianne E.
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The Accounts of the Unbanked and Underbanked
Boel, Paola & Zimmerman, Peter & Puzzello, Daniela & Panzitta, Geena
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Dollars and Cents: Real Hourly Wage Growth across the Lower Half of the Wage Distribution
Fee, Kyle
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Pennsylvania’s International Trade Relationships
Dunn, Julianne E. & Moseley, Carol
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The Causal Effects of Tariff Uncertainty on Consumers' Macroeconomic Expectations and Spending Plans
Pfajfar, Damjan & Candia, Bernardo & Mitchell, James
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Recipe for a Thriving US Economy: Strong Banks, Patient Policy, and an Independent yet Accountable Central Bank
Hammack, Beth
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Incorporating Micro Data into Macro Models Using Pseudo VARs
McIntyre, Stuart & Wu, Ping & Mitchell, James & Koop, Gary
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A Shock by Any Other Name? Reconsidering the Impacts of Local Demand Shocks
Wasser, David & Bassler, Sean & Rinz, Kevin & Wozniak, Abigail
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How Anchored Are Short-Run Inflation Expectations Today? A Look at What Consumers and Forecasters Are Telling Us
Cline, Alexander & Rich, Robert W.
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Factors Affecting Regional Bank Health and Supervisory Rating: An Exploration
Healy, Christopher & Duffy, Denise & Haubrich, Joseph G.
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How Will New Federal Requirements Affect Medicaid Expansion Enrollees in the Fourth District?
Huettner, Brett
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Fourth District Almanac 2026
Isler, Mitchell & Huettner, Brett & Whitaker, Stephan D.
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When Trade Compresses: The Impact of Liberalization on Wage Inequality
Merga, Roman & Hernandez Martinez, Victor & Kozeniauskas, Nicholas
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BLS Payroll Revisions: Forecasting Recessions
Pinheiro, Roberto & Quinlan, Rory G.
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Banking on Experience. Capital Reallocation, Asset Knowledge, and the Structure of Credit Contracts
Kokas, Sotirios & Minetti, Raoul & Cao, Qingqing & Degryse, Hans
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Kentucky’s International Trade Relationships
Moseley, Carol & Dunn, Julianne E.
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Ohio’s International Trade Relationships
Dunn, Julianne E. & Moseley, Carol
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SORCE Insights: Employment Conditions and Outlook for Fourth District Firms
Isler, Mitchell & Huettner, Brett
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Are Young College Graduates Losing Their Edge in the Job Market?
Kaymak, Barış & Cline, Alexander
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Opening Remarks at the 2025 Financial Stability Conference: Financial Stability in a Time of Rapid Economic and Technological Change
Hammack, Beth