Latest Items

• Who Is Paying for the 2025 U.S. Tariffs?
  Flanagan, Christopher & Heise, Sebastian & Weinstein, David E. & Amiti, Mary
• Hiring in Oklahoma Slows, but Unemployment Remains Low
  Cowley, Cortney & Farha, Chase
• Model Risk Under CECL: A Consumer Finance Perspective
  Canals-Cerda, Jose J.
• The Causal Effects of Tariff Uncertainty on Consumers' Macroeconomic Expectations and Spending Plans
  Mitchell, James & Pfajfar, Damjan & Candia, Bernardo
• Recipe for a Thriving US Economy: Strong Banks, Patient Policy, and an Independent yet Accountable Central Bank
  Hammack, Beth
• A New U.S. Productivity Chapter? What Industry Data Say About AI
  Miller, Sydney & Çakır Melek, Nida
• Research Spotlight: Responding to a Spouse's Lost Income
  Cooper-Ohm, Spencer
• Buy Now, Pay Later: Recent Developments and Implications
  Wang, Zhu
• Where Are Mortgage Delinquencies Rising the Most?
  Lee, Donghoon & Haughwout, Andrew F. & Scally, Joelle & Van der Klaauw, Wilbert & Mangrum, Daniel
• Talent Finance: Exploring the Future of Workforce Partnerships
  Miller, Sarah & Townsend, Katherine & Andreason, Stuart
• Fruit of the Boom: The Impact of the Industrial Revolution on Economic Growth
  Vandenbroucke, Guillaume & Kaiman, Mike
• Do Government Shutdowns Affect Subsequent Data Revisions?
  Owyang, Michael T. & Hathhorn, Brooke
• Using 211 Data to Gauge Eighth District Economic Conditions
  Summers-Gabr, Nicole & Rodgers, William M.
• Is the PPPLF Still Encouraging Small Business Lending?
  Dufresne, Lora & Spiegel, Mark M.
• Incorporating Micro Data into Macro Models Using Pseudo VARs
  Wu, Ping & Koop, Gary & McIntyre, Stuart & Mitchell, James
• Do Research Universities Recession-Proof Their Regions? Evidence from State Flagship College Towns
  Jump, Robert Calvert & Scavette, Adam
• Economic Outlook and Supply-Side (Dis)Inflation Dynamics: A speech at the Brookings Institution, Washington, D.C., February 6, 2026
  Jefferson, Philip N.
• Inflation Persistence as an Outcome of Monetary Policy
  Vasiljevic, Stephen D. & Doh, Taeyoung
• Programming Money Without Programmable Money
  Lee, Michael Junho & Martin, Antoine
• A Look at Recent Developments in the Federal Fiscal Balance
  Dupor, Bill
• Stablecoins vs. Tokenized Deposits: The Narrow Banking Debate Revisited
  Keister, Todd & Huang, Xuesong
• Interest Rate Surprises When the Fed Doesn’t Speak
  Williams, John C. & Miranda-Agrippino, Silvia
• Investigating the Recent Decline in Community College Enrollment
  Pollard, Emily
• Credit Scores and Inequality across the Life Cycle
  Corbae, Dean & Ríos-Rull, José-Víctor & Dempsey, Kyle & Chatterjee, Satyajit
• ChatMacro: Evaluating Inflation Forecasts of Generative AI
  Li, Huiyu & Alam, M.Jahangir & Boyle, Shane & Sekhposyan, Tatevik
• A Market-Based Assessment of the Outlook for Inflation Expectations and Monetary Policy in South Africa
  Christensen, Jens H. E. & Steenkamp, Daan
• Does the Phillips Curve Steepen When Costs Surge?
  Lenzu, Simone
• A Shock by Any Other Name? Reconsidering the Impacts of Local Demand Shocks
  Wasser, David & Wozniak, Abigail & Bassler, Sean & Rinz, Kevin
• Firms and Artificial Intelligence: A Regional Update
  Kosakow, Jason & Waddell, Sonya Ravindranath
• Economic Outlook: A speech at the Economic Club of Miami, Miami, Florida., February 4, 2026
  Cook, Lisa D.