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Worker Types, AI Exposure and the Recent Decline in Job-Finding Rates
Macaluso, Claudia & Borovickova, Katrina
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Financial Markets, Oil Prices, and Supply-Side Risks
Wasserburger, Wesley & Mertens, Thomas M.
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Reaching for Duration
Mertens, Thomas M. & Paul, Pascal & Schneider, Andrés
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Will AI Intensify or Weaken Market Competition?
Liu, Zheng & Leduc, Sylvain & Firooz, Hamid
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The Erosion of Public Capital in Portugal
Faria-e-Castro, Miguel
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Stripping STRIPs Trading Activity
Fleming, Michael J. & Shachar, Or
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What Ties Us Together? Explaining Synchronized GDP Volatility
Leiva-León, Danilo & Ductor Gómez, Lorenzo & López Artero, Javier Adrián
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How do Consumers View Future Government Debt? A Primer on Debt-Growth Expectations
Walker, Christopher J. & Luduvice, Andre
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The "Low-Hire, Low-Fire" Labor Market
Fallick, Bruce
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Financial and Production Integration in the Macroeconomy
Yi, Nicholas Jaehyun & Minetti, Raoul & Cao, Qingqing & Brancati, Emanuele
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What the Iran War Teaches Us about the Price Elasticity of Oil Supply
Patel, Kunal & Kilian, Lutz
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The Incidence of Fuel-Price Shocks and Tax Holidays: Evidence from the 2026 Oil Shock
Bradt, Jacob T. & Taylor, Reid
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Optimal Second-best Menu Design: Evidence from Residential Electricity Plans
Garcia-Osipenko, Maria & Perry, Spencer & Vreugdenhil, Nicholas & Kuminoff, Nicolai V.
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The Effects of U.S. Public R&D on Global Growth
Nath, Ishan & Mertens, Karel & Fieldhouse, Andrew J. & Ramey, Valerie A. & de Souza, Gustavo
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Subnational Bilateral Remittance Flows in the U.S.-Mexico Corridor: A Multi-Source Imputation and Validation
Cañas, Jesus & Flores, Miguel
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How USMCA compliance cushioned the 2025 tariff shock
Martínez García, Enrique & Mau, Ron
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Inflation Uncertainty and Endogenous Planning Horizons
López-Salido, J. David & Gust, Christopher J. & Herbst, Edward P.
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The Price of Bank Funding Behind Private Credit: Evidence from Business Development Companies
Wang, Jessie Jiaxu & Haque, Sharjil M.
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Examining the Sensitivity of Regional Banks to Macroeconomic Shocks
Afanasyeva, Elena & Achugamonu, Faith & Seay, Matthew P. & Schmidt-Eisenlohr, Tim
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Monetary Policy and Productivity: Promoting Growth vs. Stabilizing Prices
Musalem, Alberto G.
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Early Warning Signals in Private Credit? What BDC Portfolios Reveal about Emerging Risks
Shen, Leslie Sheng & Wang, J. Christina & Fillat, José
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Why Do Fewer Renters Expect to Move?
Haughwout, Andrew F. & Gresh, Christopher & Lee, Eungik & Van der Klaauw, Wilbert
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Outlook for the U.S. and Alaskan Economies: A speech at the 2026 Economic Luncheon of the Anchorage Economic Development Corporation, Anchorage, Alaska., August 05, 2026
Cook, Lisa D.
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High Costs and Uncertainty Will Likely Keep Cattle Inventories Low and Beef Prices Elevated for Some Time
Scott, Francisco
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From Barrier to Bridge: Approaches to Address Benefits Cliffs
Birken, Brittany & Rees, John & Barnes, Keith
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Spreading Out Across Expanding Idea Space
Reynolds, Nicholas & Ganguli, Ina & Lin, Jeffrey & Meursault, Vitaly
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The Ins and Outs of Long-Term Unemployment
Macaluso, Claudia & Borovickova, Katrina
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Capital and AI Investment in the Fifth District
Ngo, Drew & Waddell, Sonya Ravindranath
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What Businesses Are Saying: Steady Overall With Pockets of Stress
Haltom, Renee Courtois & Martin, Matthew & Bauer, Andrew
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How Do Sectoral Shocks Shape Future GDP?
Sarte, Pierre-Daniel G. & Lashkari, Danial & Ho, Paul