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Vulnerable Workers and the State of the U.S. Labor Market
Rodgers, William M. (2022-09-02)
U.S. employment has remained strong since last Labor Day amid high inflation. If the labor market weakens, how would that affect vulnerable workers?
On the Economy

Discussion Paper
How Have Racial and Ethnic Earnings Gaps Changed after COVID-19?
Chatterji-Len, Kasey; García, Daniel I.; Pinkovskiy, Maxim L.; Chakrabarti, Rajashri (2022-10-20)
Racial and ethnic earnings disparities have been salient features of the U.S. economy for decades. Between the pandemic-driven recession in 2020 and the rising inflation since 2021, workers’ real and nominal earnings have seen rapid change. To get a sense of how recent economic conditions have affected earnings disparities, we examine real and nominal weekly earnings trends for Asian, Black, Hispanic, and white workers. We find that average real weekly earnings have been declining in the past year, but less so for Black and Hispanic workers than for white and Asian workers. Black and ...
Liberty Street Economics , Paper 20221020a

Speech
Views on Current Economic Conditions and Monetary Policy
Collins, Susan M. (2025-09-30)
Federal Reserve Bank of Boston President & CEO Susan M. Collins shared brief remarks at the Council on Foreign Relations' C. Peter McColough Series on International Economics. Following the brief remarks, President Collins discussed economic conditions and monetary policy with CNBC Technology and Global Markets Correspondent Seema Mody.
Speech

What Does the Beveridge Curve Tell Us about the Labor Market Recovery?
Rodgers, William M.; Kassens, Alice (2022-07-14)
Examining the relationship between the jobless rate and the job vacancy rate reveals recent changes in the job matching process between U.S. employers and workers.
On the Economy

Speech
Calibrating Policy in an Uncertain Time
Daly, Mary C. (2023-04-12)
Remarks delivered at Salt Lake Chamber, Salt Lake City, UT, April 12, 2023, by Mary C. Daly, President and Chief Executive Officer, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
Speech

Journal Article
Nebraska’s Labor Market Still Strong, but More People Working Multiple Jobs
McCoy, John; Kauffman, Nathan (2024-11-20)
The labor market in Nebraska remains strong, but some emerging trends point to elements of softness important to monitor moving forward.
Nebraska Economist

Journal Article
An Alternative Version of the KC Fed LMCI Suggests the Level of Activity Was Little Changed but Momentum Decelerated Sharply in October
Mustre-del-Rio, Jose; Oliyide, Johnson; Pollard, Emily (2025-11-10)
Last month, we published an alternative version of the Kansas City Fed’s Labor Market Conditions Indicators (LMCI) that excludes delayed government series to continue tracking the health of the labor market in a systematic fashion. The October reading of this restricted LMCI suggests little change in the labor market, but a deceleration in labor market momentum caused by a high number of announced job cuts. This has pushed down our model's forecast of payroll employment growth for October.
Economic Bulletin

Discussion Paper
Is Wage Growth Normalizing? What Fifth District Businesses Are Saying About Wages
Kosakow, Jason; Edwards, Zach (2024-02-28)
In the past few years, firms across the nation have reported increased wages due, at least in part, to a supply of labor that cannot keep up with robust demand. Last July, we wrote about how Fifth District firms reported notable acceleration in the growth rates of both realized and expected wages. More recently, wage growth has declined, and a rising share of firms expect their wage growth for 2024 to be "about normal." However, wage growth remains above pre-COVID-19 levels. Our business surveys suggest that wage growth might remain elevated for some time.
Regional Matters

Briefing
Networks, Innovation and Productivity: A Conference Recap
Mullin, John; Wells, Matthew (2023-05)
How do employment targets affect firm dynamics? What is the relationship between inventor migration, and local productivity and knowledge spillovers? How are surplus gains from inventions distributed? These were among the questions addressed by economists during a recent Richmond Fed research conference.Economists from the Richmond Fed, research universities and other institutions met in Richmond for a conference in May. Researchers presented papers on a variety of topics, including digital advertising, R&D allocation, production networks, and knowledge creation and diffusion.
Richmond Fed Economic Brief , Volume 23 , Issue 17

Discussion Paper
Lagging Labor Force Participation in Maryland and Virginia
Mengedoth, Joseph (2022-09-23)
By July 2022, the U.S. had officially regained the jobs lost in the pandemic, the unemployment rate matched its pre-pandemic low, and the size of the labor force (the sum of employed and unemployed looking for work) was almost back to its pre-pandemic level. The same was true for many states in the Fifth District. Maryland, Virginia, and West Virginia had recovered nearly all the jobs lost in February and March of 2020, while North and South Carolina had more than fully recovered. Unemployment rates were at or below pre-pandemic rates across much of the Fifth District as well.
Regional Matters

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