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Keywords:Demography 

Journal Article
The changing face of the Eighth District

The census shows we lag the country in population growth and in racial diversity.
The Regional Economist , Issue Jul , Pages 12-13

Journal Article
Is the population boom a boon?

National Economic Trends , Issue Jan

Journal Article
Texas: demographically different

Southwest Economy , Issue May , Pages 1-5

Conference Paper
World population in 2050: assessing the projections: discussion

I would like to follow up on the last sentence of the excellent presentation by Joel Cohen. It is indeed true that the lag between new methodological developments and their actual implementation by statistical agencies is regrettably long, but I think there is some hope that the speed of applying innovations has been accelerating over this century. This is the case in many other areas, and it would be surprising if it were not the case in the field of population forecasting. I would assess with a probability of well above 90 percent that by the end of this century, institutional procedures ...
Conference Series ; [Proceedings] , Volume 46

Conference Paper
The impact of demographic change on U. S. labor markets

According to the U. S. Census Bureau projections, the United States will face dramatic demographic changes over the next one hundred years. Indeed, the country will be entering largely uncharted territory. In the twenty-first century, the population is expected to grow more slowly than ever before over an extended period. The population will also age rapidly, with the share of the population over 65 climbing to a succession of new record highs. Finally, the United States will once again become a nation of immigrants. Over the past decade, the wave of new immigrants has already neared ...
Conference Series ; [Proceedings] , Volume 46

Report
Why did the average duration of unemployment become so much longer?

This paper examines the causes of the observed increase in the average duration of unemployment over the past thirty years. First we analyze whether changes in the demographic composition of the U.S. labor force, particularly the age and gender composition, can explain this increase. We then consider the contribution of institutional changes, such as the change in the generosity and coverage of unemployment insurance. We find that changes in the composition of the labor force and institutional changes can only partially account for the longer duration of unemployment. We construct a job ...
Staff Reports , Paper 194

Speech
The recovery and monetary policy

Remarks at the National Association for Business Economics Annual Meeting, New York City.
Speech , Paper 89

Speech
The road to recovery: Brooklyn

Remarks by President Dudley at the Brooklyn Chamber of Commerce Brooklyn Borough Hall, Brooklyn, New York.
Speech , Paper 58

Working Paper
The age-time-cohort problem and the identification of structural parameters in life-cylce models

The standard approach to estimating structural parameters in life-cycle models imposes sufficient assumptions on the data to identify the ?age profile? of outcomes, then chooses model parameters so that the model?s age profile matches this empirical age profile. I show that the standard approach is both incorrect and unnecessary: incorrect, because it generally produces inconsistent estimators of the structural parameters, and unnecessary, because consistent estimators can be obtained under weaker assumptions. I derive an estimation method that avoids the problems of the standard approach. I ...
Working Papers , Paper 707

Conference Paper
The impact of demographic change on U. S. labor markets: discussion

As its title indicates, the paper by Jane Little and Robert Triest deals with the impact of some upcoming demographic changes on the U. S. labor market. The two changes highlighted are the well-documented population aging and immigration. According to the paper, the challenges raised by these changes are rising and high old-age dependency ratios because of declining numbers of workers to retirees, and slower productivity growth, since migrants tend to have less education than the native-born. ; I would only have quibbles, not quarrels, with their clear and balanced description of these future ...
Conference Series ; [Proceedings] , Volume 46

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