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Working Paper
Capital Buffers in a Quantitative Model of Banking Industry Dynamics
Corbae, Dean; D'Erasmo, Pablo (2021-05-26)
We develop a model of banking industry dynamics to study the quantitative impact of regulatory policies on bank risk taking and market structure. Since our model is matched to U.S. data, we propose a market structure where big banks with market power interact with small, competitive fringe banks as well as non-bank lenders. Banks face idiosyncratic funding shocks in addition to aggregate shocks which affect the fraction of performing loans in their portfolio. A nontrivial bank size distribution arises out of endogenous entry and exit, as well as banks' buffer stock of capital. We show the ...
Working Papers , Paper 779

Working Paper
Relative Price Dispersion: Evidence and Theory
Menzio, Guido; Rudanko, Leena; Kaplan, Greg; Trachter, Nicholas (2016-01-15)
We use a large dataset on retail pricing to document that a sizable portion of the cross-sectional variation in the price at which the same good trades in the same period and in the same market is due to the fact that stores that are, on average, equally expensive set persistently different prices for the same good. We refer to this phenomenon as relative price dispersion. We argue that relative price dispersion stems from sellers? attempts to discriminate between high-valuation buyers who need to make all of their purchases in the same store and low-valuation buyers who are willing to ...
Working Paper , Paper 16-2

Journal Article
New information on lending to small businesses and small farms: the 1996 CRA data
Canner, Glenn B.; Bostic, Raphael W. (1998-01)
As a consequence of recent revisions to the regulations that implement the Community Reinvestment Act (CRA), new information is now publicly available on the geographic distribution of small loans to businesses and farms and on community development lending. Because small businesses and small farms are more likely than larger ones to borrow small amounts, the CRA data on small loans are likely to provide a reasonable measure of the extension of credit to such businesses. Thus, the CRA data provide new opportunities to gauge the flow of credit to communities with differing economic and ...
Federal Reserve Bulletin , Volume 84 , Issue Jan , Pages 1-21

Working Paper
Customer Capital, Markup Cyclicality, and Amplification
Hong, Sungki (2017-04-30)
This paper studies the importance of firm-level price markup dynamics for business cycle fluctuations. Using state-of-the-art IO techniques to measure the behavior of markups over the business cycle at the firm level, I find that markups are countercyclical with an average elasticity of -1.1 with respect to real GDP. Importantly, I find substantial heterogeneity in markup cyclicality across firms, with small firms having significantly more counter-cyclical markups than large firms. Then, I develop a general equilibrium model by embedding customer capital (due to deep habits as in Ravn, ...
Working Papers , Paper 2017-33

Report
The time-varying price of financial intermediation in the mortgage market
Lo, Stephanie; Willen, Paul S.; Fuster, Andreas (2017-01-01)
The U.S. mortgage market links homeowners with savers all over the world. In this paper, we ask how much of the flow of money from savers to borrowers goes to the intermediaries that facilitate these transactions. Based on a new methodology and a new administrative data set, we find that the price of intermediation, measured as a fraction of the loan amount at origination, is large?142 basis points on average over the 2008-14 period. At daily frequencies, intermediaries pass on price changes in the secondary market to borrowers in the primary market almost completely. At monthly frequencies, ...
Staff Reports , Paper 805

Journal Article
Accounting for the Effects of Fiscal Policy Shocks on Exchange Rates through Markup Dynamics
Lee, Hyungsuk; Lee, Junsang (2024-04-15)
This study investigates how fiscal policy shocks affect the external sector through markup dynamics in advanced and developing economies. We focus on the role of markup dynamics as a channel through which fiscal policy has a distinct effect on real exchange rates. Using panel data from 32 countries, we employ a local projection to evaluate the impact of expansionary fiscal policy shocks on real exchange rates, markups, and current accounts. Our empirical findings show distinct responses to the shocks among advanced and developing countries regarding the real exchange rate, due to different ...
Review , Volume 106 , Issue 2 , Pages 129-145

Working Paper
Variety, globalization, and social efficiency
Ruffin, Roy J.; Cox, W. Michael (2008)
This paper puts recent work on the benefits of variety into the context of a more complete quantitative analysis of the Dixit-Stiglitz-Krugman model of monopolistic competition. We show how the gains from globalization are reflected in the increase in variety and the exploitation of economies of scale, and that the social efficiency question is quantitatively insignificant. These results follow from examining a Bertrand-Nash equilibrium that allows for a finite number of varieties to affect the elasticity of demand facing each firm. We develop a precise expression for per capita real income ...
Globalization Institute Working Papers , Paper 15

Working Paper
Effects of Credit Supply on Unemployment and Inequality
Bandyopadhyay, Subhayu; Dinopoulos , Elias; Unel, Bulent (2016-06-15)
The Great Recession, which was preceded by the financial crisis, resulted in higher unemployment and inequality. We propose a simple model where firms producing varieties face labor-market frictions and credit constraints. In the model, tighter credit leads to lower output, lower number of vacancies, and higher directed-search unemployment. Where workers are more productive at higher levels of firm output, lower credit supply increases firm capital intensity, raises inequality by increasing the rental of capital relative to the wage, and has an ambiguous effect on welfare. At initial high ...
Working Papers , Paper 2016-13

Working Paper
Where Are All the New Banks? The Role of Regulatory Burden in New Charter Creation
Adams, Robert M.; Gramlich, Jacob P. (2014-12-16)
New bank formation in the U.S. has declined dramatically since the financial crisis, from well over 100 new banks per year to less than 1. Many have suggested that this is due to newly-instituted regulation, but the current weak economy and low interest rates (which both depress banking profits) could also have played a role. We estimate a model of bank entry decisions on data from 1976 to 2013 which indicates that at least 75% of the decline in new bank formation would have occurred without any regulatory change. The standalone effect of regulation is more difficult to quantify.
Finance and Economics Discussion Series , Paper 2014-113

Journal Article
Effects of Credit Supply on Unemployment and Income Inequality
Dinopoulos , Elias; Unel, Bulent; Bandyopadhyay, Subhayu (2018)
The Great Recession, which was preceded by the Financial Crisis, resulted in higher unemployment and income inequality. We propose a simple model where firms producing varieties face labor-market frictions and credit constraints. In the model, tighter credit leads to lower output, a lower number of vacancies, and higher directed-search unemployment. If workers are more productive at higher levels of firm output, then a lower credit supply increases firm capital intensity, raises income inequality by increasing the rental of capital relative to the wage, and has an ambiguous effect on welfare. ...
Review , Volume 100 , Issue 4 , Pages 345-362

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