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Working Paper
Assessing the macroeconomic impact of bank intermediation shocks: a structural approach
Chen, Kaiji; Zha, Tao
(2015-08-01)
We take a structural approach to assessing the empirical importance of shocks to the supply of bank-intermediated credit in affecting macroeconomic fluctuations. First, we develop a theoretical model to show how credit supply shocks can be transmitted into disruptions in the production economy. Second, we use the unique micro-banking data to identify and support the model's key mechanism. Third, we find that the output effect of credit supply shocks is not only economically and statistically significant but also consistent with the vector autogression evidence. Our mode estimation indicates ...
FRB Atlanta Working Paper
, Paper 2015-8
Working Paper
Technological change in large U.S. commercial banks
Hunter, William C.; Timme, Stephen G.
(1988)
FRB Atlanta Working Paper
, Paper 88-6
Working Paper
Discussion of Preston, \"Learning about monetary policy rules when long-horizon expectations matter\"
Honkapohja, Seppo
(2003)
The design of interest rate rules for conducting monetary policy have recently been examined for two key concerns. The first issue is determinacy of equilibria. Indeterminacy (multiplicity of stationary rational expectations equilibria) is a concern in models of monopolistic competition and price stickiness are currently a popular framework for the study of monetary policy. The second issue is stability of equilibria under adaptive learning. Some interest rate rules do not perform well when the expectations of the agents get out of equilibrium, e.g. as a result of structural shifts.
FRB Atlanta Working Paper
, Paper 2003-19
Working Paper
Underlying determinants of closed-bank resolution costs
Osterberg, William P.; Thomson, James B.
(1994)
An analysis of the issues surrounding bank resolution costs, looking at failures from 1986 to 1992 and including proxies for fraud, off-balance-sheet risk, brokered deposits, and both regional and size effects. Evidence suggests there was a significant lag between the realization and recognition of losses on bank assets, and that regulators may have practiced forbearance.
Working Papers (Old Series)
, Paper 9403
Working Paper
Predictive Modeling of Surveyed Property Conditions and Vacancy
Richter, Francisca; Urban, Apirl Hirsh; Oduro, Isaac; Whitaker, Stephan; Martin, Hal
(2016-12-23)
Using the results of a comprehensive in-person survey of properties in Cleveland, Ohio, we fit predictive models of vacancy and property conditions. We draw predictor variables from administrative data that is available in most jurisdictions such as deed recordings, tax assessor?s property characteristics, and foreclosure filings. Using logistic regression and machine learning methods, we are able to make reasonably accurate out-of-sample predictions. Our findings indicate that housing professionals could use administrative data and predictive models to identify distressed properties between ...
Working Papers (Old Series)
, Paper 1637
Working Paper
Earnings and wealth inequality and income taxation: quantifying the tradeoffs of switching to a proportional income tax in the U.S.
Castaneda, Ana; Azariadis, Costas; Ambrose, Brent W.
(1998)
This paper quantifies the steady-state aggregate, distributional, and mobility effects of switching the U.S. to a proportional income tax system.
Working Papers (Old Series)
, Paper 9814
Working Paper
Fixed-premium deposit insurance and international credit crunches
Spiegel, Mark M.
(1994)
We introduce a monopolistically-competitive model of foreign lending in which both explicit and implicit fixed-premium deposit insurance increase the degree to which bank participation in relending to problem debtors falls below its globally optimal level. This provides a channel for fixed-premium deposit insurance to inhibit credit extension in bad states, resulting in an increase in the expected default percentage and an increase in the expected burden on the deposit insurance institution.
Working Papers in Applied Economic Theory
, Paper 94-19
Working Paper
Mortgage Choice in the Housing Boom: Impacts of House Price Appreciation and Borrower Type
Furlong, Frederick T.; Takhtamanova, Yelena; Lang, David
(2014-01)
The U.S. housing boom during the first part of the past decade was marked by rapid house price appreciation and greater access to mortgage credit for lower credit-rated borrowers. The subsequent collapse of the housing market and the high default rates on residential mortgages raise the issue of whether the pace of house price appreciation and the mix of borrowers may have affected the influence of fundamentals in housing and mortgage markets. This paper examines that issue in connection with one aspect of mortgage financing, the choice among fixed-rate and adjustable-rate mortgages. This ...
Working Paper Series
, Paper 2014-5
Working Paper
Time-varying U.S. inflation dynamics and the New-Keynesian Phillips curve
Lansing, Kevin J.
(2006)
This paper introduces a form of boundedly-rational expectations into an otherwise standard New-Keynesian Phillips curve. The representative agent's forecast rule is optimal (in the sense of minimizing mean squared forecast errors), conditional on a perceived law of motion for inflation and observed moments of the inflation time series. The perceived law of motion allows for both temporary and permanent shocks to inflation, the latter intended to capture the possibility of evolving shifts in the central bank's inflation target. In this case, the agent's optimal forecast rule defined by the ...
Working Paper Series
, Paper 2006-15
Working Paper
The magnitude and cyclical behavior of financial market frictions
Zakrajšek, Egon; Natalucci, Fabio M.; Levin, Andrew T.
(2004)
We quantify the cross-sectional and time-series behavior of the wedge between the cost of external and internal finance by estimating the structural parameters of a canonical debt-contracting model with informational frictions. For this purpose, we construct a new dataset that includes balance sheet information, measures of expected default risk, and credit spreads on publicly traded debt for about 900 U.S. firms over the period 1997Q1 to 2003Q3. Using nonlinear least squares, we obtain precise time-specific estimates of the bankruptcy cost parameter and consistently reject the null ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
, Paper 2004-70
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I31 24 items
N12 24 items
R3 24 items
D21 23 items
G00 23 items
H81 23 items
J2 23 items
J32 23 items
R20 23 items
C18 22 items
C21 22 items
C5 22 items
D85 22 items
F47 22 items
H71 22 items
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J26 22 items
K35 22 items
R33 22 items
R38 22 items
C78 21 items
D86 21 items
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F60 21 items
H75 21 items
I10 21 items
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J6 21 items
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O14 21 items
C24 20 items
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G41 20 items
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C31 19 items
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D58 19 items
D62 19 items
E66 19 items
F22 19 items
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J3 19 items
L16 19 items
O3 19 items
E71 18 items
H0 18 items
H12 18 items
I30 18 items
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Q41 18 items
R51 18 items
C30 17 items
C43 17 items
C80 17 items
H50 17 items
I1 17 items
J18 17 items
O13 17 items
C25 16 items
C3 16 items
G02 16 items
G52 16 items
H55 16 items
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J1 16 items
O10 16 items
O38 16 items
C62 15 items
C73 15 items
C8 15 items
D13 15 items
D60 15 items
G40 15 items
H41 15 items
L1 15 items
L81 15 items
O15 15 items
O30 15 items
Q35 15 items
R13 15 items
R41 15 items
C26 14 items
D61 14 items
D8 14 items
E02 14 items
E70 14 items
F65 14 items
G53 14 items
J08 14 items
J10 14 items
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H2 13 items
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J12 13 items
J38 13 items
K42 13 items
L40 13 items
L51 13 items
M41 13 items
O50 13 items
R28 13 items
C72 12 items
F37 12 items
F38 12 items
G5 12 items
H3 12 items
H74 12 items
I20 12 items
N1 12 items
N11 12 items
O34 12 items
O43 12 items
P16 12 items
R2 12 items
R50 12 items
D1 11 items
D25 11 items
D4 11 items
E7 11 items
F17 11 items
F51 11 items
G35 11 items
H53 11 items
H7 11 items
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J33 11 items
J71 11 items
L21 11 items
N92 11 items
A14 10 items
C1 10 items
C54 10 items
J7 10 items
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L60 10 items
L85 10 items
O19 10 items
Q51 10 items
C34 9 items
C6 9 items
C60 9 items
D74 9 items
H6 9 items
H72 9 items
H73 9 items
J14 9 items
L2 9 items
L86 9 items
M12 9 items
O24 9 items
O32 9 items
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Q33 9 items
R0 9 items
R1 9 items
R32 9 items
C01 8 items
D33 8 items
D42 8 items
E0 8 items
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J78 7 items
L22 7 items
M13 7 items
Q32 7 items
R00 7 items
R58 7 items
A11 6 items
A19 6 items
C4 6 items
C87 6 items
C91 6 items
C93 6 items
D23 6 items
D47 6 items
D57 6 items
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E26 6 items
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H4 6 items
H40 6 items
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M37 6 items
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O12 6 items
O17 6 items
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B4 5 items
C00 5 items
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FILTER BY Keywords
Monetary policy 948 items
Business cycles 464 items
Econometric models 447 items
Inflation (Finance) 421 items
Interest rates 367 items
Prices 257 items
Foreign exchange rates 254 items
Forecasting 238 items
monetary policy 203 items
Unemployment 195 items
Wages 194 items
Risk 191 items
COVID-19 188 items
Productivity 177 items
Labor market 160 items
International trade 155 items
Taxation 153 items
Bank loans 151 items
Fiscal policy 150 items
Financial markets 149 items
Money 139 items
Macroeconomics 137 items
Consumption (Economics) 130 items
Banks and banking 126 items
Financial crises 118 items
time series analysis 118 items
Credit 117 items
Inflation 113 items
Mortgages 113 items
Money supply 112 items
Bank capital 106 items
International finance 105 items
Stock - Prices 105 items
Labor supply 104 items
Stock market 101 items
inflation 101 items
Investments 99 items
Liquidity (Economics) 98 items
Debt 97 items
Employment (Economic theory) 96 items
Housing 92 items
Phillips curve 92 items
Foreign exchange 90 items
Economic development 89 items
Employment 89 items
Japan 88 items
Bankruptcy 87 items
Monetary policy - United States 86 items
Income 83 items
Rational expectations (Economic theory) 83 items
Bank failures 82 items
Capital 82 items
Payment systems 81 items
Asset pricing 79 items
Consumer behavior 76 items
Bank supervision 75 items
Monetary Policy 75 items
Regional economics 75 items
Technology 75 items
Bank mergers 73 items
Banks and banking, Central 73 items
Financial institutions 73 items
Trade 73 items
Saving and investment 72 items
fiscal policy 72 items
Mortgage loans 71 items
Education 68 items
Uncertainty 68 items
Consumer credit 67 items
unemployment 67 items
Econometrics 66 items
Human capital 66 items
Deposit insurance 65 items
Wealth 65 items
Federal Reserve 64 items
Risk management 63 items
inequality 63 items
Financial stability 62 items
Inequality 62 items
business cycles 60 items
Equilibrium (Economics) 59 items
Bonds 57 items
Competition 56 items
Vector autoregression 56 items
Manufactures 55 items
Monetary theory 55 items
Economic forecasting 54 items
Production (Economic theory) 54 items
Welfare 53 items
Bank reserves 52 items
Great Recession 52 items
Credit cards 51 items
Income distribution 51 items
Corporations - Finance 50 items
Housing - Prices 50 items
liquidity 50 items
Stocks 49 items
Capital movements 47 items
Labor productivity 47 items
Liquidity 47 items
Inventories 46 items
Banks and banking - Costs 45 items
China 45 items
Small business 45 items
Social security 45 items
productivity 45 items
Incomplete Markets 43 items
Bank competition 42 items
Banking market 42 items
Exports 42 items
Recessions 41 items
consumption 41 items
Developing countries 40 items
Mexico 40 items
Gross domestic product 39 items
forecasting 39 items
international trade 39 items
Bank deposits 38 items
Banking 38 items
Banks 38 items
zero lower bound 38 items
Foreclosure 37 items
Foreign exchange - Law and legislation 37 items
Regulation 37 items
Securities 37 items
human capital 37 items
Capital market 36 items
Futures 36 items
options 36 items
Systemic risk 35 items
employment 35 items
Consumption 34 items
Derivative securities 34 items
Federal Open Market Committee 34 items
Investments, Foreign 34 items
Default 33 items
Dollar, American 33 items
Germany 33 items
Insurance 33 items
Ramsey Problem 33 items
Savings and loan associations 33 items
inflation expectations 33 items
uncertainty 33 items
Bank holding companies 32 items
Federal funds rate 32 items
Keynesian economics 32 items
capital asset pricing model 32 items
financial frictions 32 items
Balance of payments 31 items
Economics 31 items
Default (Finance) 30 items
Federal funds market (United States) 30 items
Government securities 30 items
Money theory 29 items
Retirement 29 items
financial crisis 29 items
interest rates 29 items
Expenditures, Public 28 items
Immigrants 28 items
Income tax 28 items
Poverty 28 items
consumer credit 28 items
labor supply 28 items
welfare 28 items
Banking structure 27 items
Business Cycles 27 items
Covid-19 27 items
Financial crisis 27 items
Petroleum industry and trade 27 items
Real-time data 27 items
Subprime mortgage 27 items
banks 27 items
financial stability 27 items
wages 27 items
Capital investments 26 items
Economies of scale 26 items
Heterogeneous Agents 26 items
economic conditions - United States 26 items
misallocation 26 items
Bayesian estimation 25 items
Contracts 25 items
Depressions 25 items
Emerging markets 25 items
Financial services industry 25 items
Heterogeneous agents 25 items
Inflation targeting 25 items
Open market operations 25 items
Tariff 25 items
heterogeneous agents 25 items
pandemic 25 items
Asia 24 items
Asset-backed financing 24 items
Federal Reserve System 24 items
Globalization 24 items
Household finance 24 items
Mortgage 24 items
Research and development 24 items
housing 24 items
job search 24 items
Demography 23 items
Game theory 23 items
Investment 23 items
Labor mobility 23 items
Markets 23 items
Pensions 23 items
Sovereign default 23 items
Statistics 23 items
Stock exchanges 23 items
Unemployment insurance 23 items
Volatility 23 items
Zero lower bound 23 items
bond markets 23 items
education 23 items
forward guidance 23 items
Bank lending 22 items
Corporate bonds 22 items
Effective lower bound 22 items
Emigration and immigration 22 items
Fiscal Policy 22 items
Great Britain 22 items
Gross national product 22 items
Households - Economic aspects 22 items
International economic relations 22 items
Loans 22 items
heterogeneity 22 items
high-frequency data 22 items
mortgages 22 items
Clearinghouses (Banking) 21 items
Demand for money 21 items
Hedging (Finance) 21 items
Industries 21 items
house prices 21 items
local projections 21 items
mortgage 21 items
small business finance 21 items
unemployment insurance 21 items
Balance of trade 20 items
Business enterprises 20 items
Debts, Public 20 items
Discount window 20 items
FOMC 20 items
Forward guidance 20 items
Inflation expectations 20 items
Latin America 20 items
Learning 20 items
Macroeconomics - Econometric models 20 items
Patents 20 items
Population 20 items
Real property 20 items
Recession 20 items
Surveys 20 items
climate change 20 items
credit cards 20 items
financial crises 20 items
quantitative easing 20 items
state finances 20 items
Automobile industry and trade 19 items
Business cycle 19 items
Discrimination in mortgage loans 19 items
Economic conditions 19 items
Education - Economic aspects 19 items
Global financial crisis 19 items
Housing - Finance 19 items
Industrial productivity 19 items
Information theory 19 items
Macroprudential policy 19 items
Mutual funds 19 items
bank lending 19 items
discretion 19 items
exchange rates 19 items
real-time data 19 items
trade 19 items
Branch banks 18 items
Commercial real estate 18 items
Computers 18 items
Consumer price indexes 18 items
Discrimination 18 items
Entrepreneurship 18 items
Finance 18 items
Free trade 18 items
Information technology 18 items
Medicaid 18 items
Misallocation 18 items
Pricing 18 items
Rate of return 18 items
Technology - Economic aspects 18 items
Treasury bills 18 items
banking 18 items
default 18 items
expectations 18 items
financial distress 18 items
fintech 18 items
firm dynamics 18 items
innovation 18 items
investment 18 items
labor markets 18 items
machine learning 18 items
mobility 18 items
Argentina 17 items
Bank management 17 items
Banks and banking, International 17 items
Bayesian methods 17 items
Budget deficits 17 items
Cities and towns 17 items
Climate change 17 items
Collateral 17 items
Corporate governance 17 items
Debts, External 17 items
East Asia 17 items
Economic growth 17 items
Economic policy 17 items
Government-sponsored enterprises 17 items
Hours of labor 17 items
Human Capital 17 items
Human behavior 17 items
Imports 17 items
Minimum wage 17 items
Mortgage-backed securities 17 items
Pacific Area 17 items
Power resources - Prices 17 items
Price levels 17 items
Stochastic analysis 17 items
Taylor's rule 17 items
credit spreads 17 items
credit supply 17 items
fiscal multipliers 17 items
government debt 17 items
recession 17 items
regulation 17 items
systemic risk 17 items
taxation 17 items
technology adoption 17 items
vacancies 17 items
Cointegration 16 items
DSGE models 16 items
European Economic Community 16 items
Expectations 16 items
Financial Frictions 16 items
Financial crises - Asia 16 items
Great Depression 16 items
Growth 16 items
Home ownership 16 items
Incomplete information 16 items
North American Free Trade Agreement 16 items
Pandemic 16 items
Petroleum products - Prices 16 items
Portfolio management 16 items
Search 16 items
Taylor rule 16 items
Unconventional monetary policy 16 items
capital flows 16 items
credit constraints 16 items
emerging markets 16 items
growth 16 items
immigration 16 items
policy 16 items
Arbitrage 15 items
Bank Lending 15 items
Bank investments 15 items
Bank profits 15 items
Bank stocks 15 items
Bayesian VARs 15 items
Bayesian inference 15 items
Beveridge curve 15 items
Checks 15 items
Credit supply 15 items
Crises 15 items
Economic indicators 15 items
Geography 15 items
Homeownership 15 items
Housing policy 15 items
Internet 15 items
Mobility 15 items
Monetary policy - Japan 15 items
Over-the-counter markets 15 items
Sovereign Debt 15 items
Structural VAR 15 items
Unemployment Insurance 15 items
household finances 15 items
identification 15 items
migration 15 items
risk 15 items
stochastic volatility 15 items
volatility 15 items
Aggregate risk 14 items
Automated tellers 14 items
Canada 14 items
Community development 14 items
Consolidation and merger of corporations 14 items
Corporations 14 items
Credit unions 14 items
Economic stabilization 14 items
European Monetary System (Organization) 14 items
Heterogeneity 14 items
Housing boom 14 items
Immigration 14 items
Job Search 14 items
Korea 14 items
Labor force participation 14 items
Labor turnover 14 items
Labor unions 14 items
Medical care 14 items
Medicare 14 items
Mortgages and credit 14 items
Phillips Curve 14 items
Public policy 14 items
Regression analysis 14 items
Seasonal variations (Economics) 14 items
debt 14 items
inference 14 items
insurance 14 items
intermediation 14 items
time-consistency 14 items
unconventional monetary policy 14 items
Banks and banking - History 13 items
Banks and banking - Japan 13 items
Bayesian Estimation 13 items
Bayesian statistical decision theory 13 items
Credit risk 13 items
Credit scoring systems 13 items
Delinquency 13 items
Discount 13 items
Discretion 13 items
Economic history 13 items
Financial literacy 13 items
Flow of funds 13 items
GDP growth 13 items
Indexation (Economics) 13 items
Industrial location 13 items
Information 13 items
Insurance, Health 13 items
Interbank market 13 items
Machine learning 13 items
Monetary policy implementation 13 items
Moral hazard 13 items
Optimal taxation 13 items
R&D 13 items
Retail trade 13 items
Securitization 13 items
Spillovers 13 items
Stocks - Rate of return 13 items
Swaps (Finance) 13 items
bankruptcy 13 items
central banks 13 items
consumer spending 13 items
convergence 13 items
deficit 13 items
financial development 13 items
financial markets 13 items
income 13 items
income inequality 13 items
institutional design 13 items
macroprudential policy 13 items
political frictions 13 items
reallocation 13 items
search 13 items
spillovers 13 items
structural breaks 13 items
student loans 13 items
technological innovations 13 items
technology diffusion 13 items
Aging 12 items
Asymmetric loss function 12 items
Basel III 12 items
Business cycles - Econometric models 12 items
Community banks 12 items
Country Risk 12 items
Debit cards 12 items
Deficit financing 12 items
Displaced workers 12 items
Electronic funds transfers 12 items
Finance, Public 12 items
Gender 12 items
Industrial capacity 12 items
Infrastructure (Economics) 12 items
Machine Learning 12 items
Markov-switching 12 items
Medical care, Cost of 12 items
Microeconomics 12 items
Municipal finance 12 items
Nowcasting 12 items
Search and matching 12 items
Stock returns 12 items
Student loans 12 items
Symmetric loss function 12 items
event study 12 items
higher education 12 items
incomplete markets 12 items
intellectual property rights 12 items
lenders of last resort 12 items
pandemics 12 items
real estate 12 items
recessions 12 items
search frictions 12 items
trade policy 12 items
Accounting 11 items
Australia 11 items
Bank notes 11 items
CARES Act 11 items
Capital flows 11 items
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