Search Results
Journal Article
Panel discussion
"The Importance of Being Predictable" by John B. Taylor -- "Monetary Policy Under Uncertainty" by Ben S. Bernanke -- "The Importance of Being Predictable" by William Poole
Working Paper
The Federal Reserve in a globalized world economy
This paper starts from the theoretical observation that simple rules-based monetary policy will result in good economic performance in a globalized world economy and the historical observation that this occurred during the Great Moderation period of the 1980s and 1990s. It tries to answer a question posed by Paul Volcker in 2014 about the global repercussions of monetary policies pursued by advanced economy central banks in recent years. I start by explaining the basic theoretical framework, its policy implications, and its historical relevance. I then review the empirical evidence on the ...
Conference Paper
Commentary : challenges for monetary policy : new and old
Conference Paper
Monetary policy implications of greater fiscal discipline
Working Paper
The monetary transmission mechanism: an empirical framework
This paper describes an empirical framework for analyzing the monetary transmission mechanism through which changes in monetary policy affect real GDP and inflation. The framework reflects the work of a large number of empirical researchers who have built econometric models of the impacts of monetary policy on real interest rates and real exchange rates. The framework is international in its scope and emphasizes the prices of financial assets rather than the quantities of these assets. In most cases expectations are assumed to be rational and the prices of goods and services are ...
Working Paper
Simple and robust rules for monetary policy
This paper focuses on simple normative rules for monetary policy which central banks can use to guide their interest rate decisions. Such rules were first derived from research on empirical monetary models with rational expectations and sticky prices built in the 1970s and 1980s. During the past two decades substantial progress has been made in establishing that such rules are robust. They perform well with a variety of newer and more rigorous models and policy evaluation methods. Simple rules are also frequently more robust than fully optimal rules. Important progress has also been made in ...