Search Results
Working Paper
Beyond Reserves: The Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet and the Repo Market
We present a new constraint on the size of the Fed’s balance sheet: repo market capacity. Calibrating a structural model to the recent monetary tightening cycle, we show that repo market capacity—driven by money market fund liquidity supply—is the binding constraint on the Fed’s balance sheet, not bank reserve demand, which was highlighted in the events of September 2019. We also demonstrate a novel complementarity between interest rate and balance sheet policies: higher policy rates expand repo capacity, allowing the central bank to operate with a smaller balance sheet.
Working Paper
A Financial Stress Index for a Small Open Economy: The Australian Case
We construct a Financial Stress Index (FSI) for a small open economy, which aims to provide clear and timely signals of financial market strains. This can be used in developing appropriate responses to address these adverse events. To do so, we use the principal component framework and apply it to Australian monthly data on interest rates, spreads, exchange rates, house price growth and inflation expectations. Decomposing the index into foreign and domestic components, we find that the foreign factors can explain more than half (57.4%) of our Australian Financial Stress Index (AFSI). To ...
Working Paper
On the Negatives of Negative Interest Rates
Major central banks remunerate reserves at negative rates (NIR). To study thelong-run effects of NIR, we focus on the role of reserves as intertemporal stores of value that are used to settle interbank liabilities. We construct a dynamic general equilibrium model with commercial banks holding reserves and funding investments with retail deposits. In the long run, NIR distorts investment decisions, lowers welfare, depresses output, and reduces bank profitability. The type of distortion depends on the transmission of NIR to retail deposits. The availability of cash explains the asymmetric ...
Working Paper
The Effects of CBDC on the Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet
We propose a parsimonious framework to understand how the issuance of central bank digital currency (CBDC) might affect the financial system, the Federal Reserve's balance sheet, and the implementation of monetary policy. We show that there is a wide range of outcomes on the financial system and the Federal Reserve's balance sheet that could reasonably occur following CBDC issuance. Our analysis highlights that the potential effects on the financial sector depend critically on how the Fed manages its balance sheet. In particular, CBDC could in principle put substantial upward pressure on the ...
Discussion Paper
Payment Stablecoins and Cross Border Payments: Benefits and Implications for Monetary Policy Implementation
In July 2025, the U.S. Congress passed the Genius Act, which established the regulatory framework for payment stablecoins. The law defines what an authorized payment stablecoin issuer is and how it will be regulated.
Discussion Paper
Repo Markets and the Fed's Balance Sheet: Implications for Monetary Policy Implementation
As the Federal Reserve (Fed) navigates periods of balance sheet expansion and reduction, it has become increasingly important to understand how changes in the size and composition of Fed assets affect short-term funding markets. The overnight Treasury repo market is central to this relationship since it is a transmission channel through which balance sheet policy can affect money market conditions and, ultimately, the Fed's policy rate, the effective federal funds rate (EFFR).