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Texas economy grows modestly; business outlooks brighten
The Texas economy exhibited recent signs of expansion, though job growth has slowed. A measure of economic activity, The Dallas Fed Texas Business Outlook Surveys (TBOS), shows moderate gains in services revenue, a resumption of retail sales increases and stable manufacturing production.
Journal Article
Shoring up water supply, curbing demand key to Texas’ future growth
Funding for water infrastructure improvements has emerged as a priority for the Legislature during its 2025 legislative session. Absent changes to policy, Texans could face significant water shortages during droughts and constraints on future growth and economic development.
Texas posts job gains in August, bolstering outlook despite signs of slowing
The Texas economic expansion continued in August despite some signs of slowing. Employment growth strengthened, rebounding from weakness in the prior two months.
Journal Article
Texas’ economic outlook deteriorates as tariff-related uncertainty builds
While lagging indicators reflect resilient growth for the Texas economy, more recent survey data suggest diminished momentum amid elevated uncertainty about the outlook.
Has the Beige Book become disconnected from economic data?
The Federal Reserve's Beige Book, a key tool for identifying U.S. business-cycle shifts, has traditionally aligned with economic data. However, postpandemic, its economic characterizations often appear weaker than what hard data indicated, raising concerns of divergence from official statistics.
Journal Article
Has the opioid crisis peaked in Texas and the U.S.?
After years of mounting deaths and costs from opioid addition, recent declines in both Texas and the nation suggest the worst may have passed.
Journal Article
Texas economy cools as concerns about tariffs, uncertainty persist
The Texas economy appears to be cooling following an upturn during the summer. The TBOS headline indexes of manufacturing production and services revenue weakened in September and October, following a brief late -summer rebound.