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Speech
The monetary policy outlook and the importance of higher education for economic mobility: remarks at the Council for Economic Education’s 56th Annual Financial Literacy & Economic Education Conference, New York City
Remarks at the Council for Economic Education?s 56th Annual Financial Literacy & Economic Education Conference, New York City.
Working Paper
Relative Price Shocks and Inflation
Inflation is determined by interaction between real factors and monetary policy. Among the most important real factors are shocks to the supply and demand for different components of the consumption basket. We use an estimated multi-sector New Keynesian model to decompose the behavior of U.S. inflation into contributions from sectoral (or "relative price") shocks, monetary policy shocks, and aggregate real shocks. The model is estimated by maximum likelihood with U.S. data for the post-1994 period in which inflation and the monetary policy regime appeared to be stable. In addition to ...