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Journal Article
Expectations, money, and the forecasting of inflation
Journal Article
Indicators of long-term real interest rates
Journal Article
Interest rate divergences among the major industrial nations
Journal Article
Which trade balance?
Journal Article
The influence of real factors on exchange rates
Journal Article
Why gold?
Journal Article
Export crowding out
Journal Article
Expectations and economic behavior
Journal Article
Determinants of long-term interest rates: an empirical study of several industrial countries
Real interest rates on long-term financial assets play a central role in linking financial markets to the economy at large. Over the last fifteen years, these rates have risen steadily in the United States and some key foreign countries. The authors consider long-term forces contributing to this risethe rate of return to capital, risk factors, and changes in financial structurealong with macroeconomic policies leading to short- and medium-term fluctuations in the rates.