Working Paper
Financial market developments and economic activity during current account adjustments in industrial economies
Kamin, Steven B.; Croke, Hilary; Leduc, Sylvain (2005)
Much has been written about prospects for U.S. current account adjustment, including the possibility of what is sometimes referred to as a "disorderly correction": a sharp fall in the exchange rate that boosts interest rates, depresses stock prices, and weakens economic activity. This paper assesses some of the empirical evidence bearing on the likelihood of the disorderly correction scenario, drawing on the experience of previous current account adjustments in industrial economies. We examined the paths of key economic performance indicators before, during, and after the onset of ...
International Finance Discussion Papers , Paper 827