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Working Paper
Pre-announcement effects, news, and volatility: monetary policy and the stock market
Bomfim, AntĂșlio N.
(2000)
I examine pre-announcement and news effects on the stock market in the context of public disclosure of monetary policy decisions. The results suggest that the stock market tends to be relatively quiet--conditional volatility is abnormally low--on days preceding regularly scheduled policy announcements. Although this calming effect is routinely reported in anecdotal press accounts, it is statistically significant only over the past four to five years, a result that I attribute to changes in the Federal Reserve's disclosure practices in early 1994. The paper also looks at how the actual ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
, Paper 2000-50
Working Paper
Misspecification versus bubbles in hyperinflation data: Monte Carlo and interwar European evidence
Hooker, Mark A.
(1997)
This paper analyzes tests of the Cagan hyperinflation-money demand model that have several advantages relative to those in the literature. They do not confound specification error with rational bubbles, are implementable with a linear procedure, and are frequently able to detect periodically collapsing bubbles that have challenged existing tests. After a Monte Carlo analysis, the tests are applied to data from hyperinflations in Austria, Germany, Hungary, and Poland. Strong evidence of model misspecification is found for Austria, while the model with a rational, explosive component well ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
, Paper 1997-49
Working Paper
The decline of activist stabilization policy: natural rate misperceptions, learning, and expectations
Williams, John C.; Orphanides, Athanasios
(2004)
We develop an estimated model of the U.S. economy in which agents form expectations by continually updating their beliefs regarding the behavior of the economy and monetary policy. We explore the effects of policymakers' misperceptions of the natural rate of unemployment during the late 1960s and 1970s on the formation of expectations and macroeconomic outcomes. We find that the combination of monetary policy directed at tight stabilization of unemployment near its perceived natural rate and large real-time errors in estimates of the natural rate uprooted heretofore quiescent inflation ...
International Finance Discussion Papers
, Paper 804
Working Paper
Commodity price movements in a general equilibrium model of storage
Leduc, Sylvain; Arseneau, David M.
(2012)
We embed the canonical rational expectations competitive storage model into a general equilibrium framework thereby allowing the non-linear commodity price dynamics implied by the competitive storage model to interact with the broader macroeconomy. Our main result is that the endogenous movement in interest rates implied under general equilibrium enhances the effects of competitive storage on commodity prices. Compared to a model in which the real interest rate is fixed, we find that storage in general equilibrium leads to more persistence in commodity prices and somewhat lower volatility. ...
International Finance Discussion Papers
, Paper 1054
Working Paper
Global versus country-specific productivity shocks and the current account
Glick, Reuven; Rogoff, Kenneth S.
(1993)
For G-7 countries over the period 1961-1990, there appears to be a strong and stable negative correlation between annual changes in the current account and investment. Here we explore this correlation using a highly tractable empirical model that distinguishes between global and country-specific shocks. This distinction turns out to be quite important empirically, as global shocks account for roughly fifty percent of the overall variance of productivity. An apparent puzzle, however, is that the current account seems to respond by much less than investment to country-specific productivity ...
International Finance Discussion Papers
, Paper 443
Working Paper
Constrained suboptimality in economies with limited communication
Bowman, David
(1995)
Economies with limited communication contain an externality which typically makes them Pareto inefficient, even taking into account the communication constraints agents face. In a two period model it is shown that an open and dense set of economies with limited communication are constrained Pareto suboptimal. Thus equilibria of economies with voluntary unemployment, search, or other types of limits on communication are unlikely to be Pareto optimal, even in the absence of moral hazard, adverse selection, or search externalities.
International Finance Discussion Papers
, Paper 497
Journal Article
Statement on monetary measures and objectives
anonymous
(1939-05)
Federal Reserve Bulletin
, Issue May
Journal Article
A method for evaluating interest rate risk in U.S. commercial banks
Embersit, James A.; Houpt, James V.
(1991-08)
Federal Reserve Bulletin
, Issue Aug
Journal Article
Statement to Congress, May 3, 1995(benefits and cost of substituting a $ 1 coin for the $1 bank note)
Kelley, Edward W.
(1995-07)
Federal Reserve Bulletin
, Issue Jul
Journal Article
Statement to Congress, May 14, 1990 (role of U.S. firms and banks in a global competitive setting)
Greenspan, Alan
(1990-07)
Federal Reserve Bulletin
, Issue Jul
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http://fedora:8080/fcrepo/rest/objects/authors/ 19 items
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FILTER BY Keywords
Monetary policy 501 items
Econometric models 256 items
Inflation (Finance) 204 items
Bank loans 184 items
Interest rates 180 items
Monetary policy - United States 165 items
economic conditions - United States 151 items
International trade 139 items
Consumer behavior 133 items
Prices 133 items
Consumer credit 129 items
Banks and banking 125 items
Foreign exchange rates 124 items
Risk management 121 items
Business cycles 121 items
Mortgages 120 items
Greenspan, Alan 119 items
Risk 109 items
Credit 104 items
International finance 104 items
Bank supervision 103 items
Financial markets 101 items
Payment systems 100 items
Federal Open Market Committee 92 items
Forecasting 91 items
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) 87 items
Bank capital 85 items
Financial crises 85 items
Bank reserves 79 items
Fiscal policy 79 items
Consumption (Economics) 78 items
Productivity 77 items
Bank deposits 73 items
Bank profits 73 items
Government securities 68 items
Money supply 68 items
Labor market 67 items
Wages 63 items
Financial stability 62 items
Saving and investment 62 items
Over-the-counter markets 61 items
Consumer surveys 58 items
Balance of payments 57 items
Inflation 57 items
Regulation Z: Truth in Lending 56 items
Economic forecasting 55 items
Unemployment 55 items
Electronic funds transfers 54 items
Money 53 items
Stock - Prices 53 items
Federal Reserve System 52 items
Stock market 52 items
Federal funds rate 51 items
Mortgage loans 51 items
Corporations - Finance 50 items
Macroeconomics 50 items
Capital investments 49 items
Housing - Prices 49 items
Taxation 49 items
Exports 48 items
Liquidity (Economics) 48 items
Capital market 47 items
Investments 46 items
Banking law 45 items
Financial institutions 45 items
Industrial productivity 45 items
Japan 45 items
Uncertainty 45 items
Labor supply 44 items
Employment 43 items
Bank mergers 42 items
Business conditions 42 items
Laware, John Patrick 42 items
Small business 42 items
Banks and banking - Accounting 41 items
Liquidity 41 items
Banking market 40 items
Financial services industry 40 items
Regulation Y: Bank Holding Companies and Change in Bank Control 40 items
Bank holding companies 39 items
Community Reinvestment Act of 1977 39 items
Derivative securities 38 items
Home Mortgage Disclosure Act 38 items
Housing - Finance 38 items
Income 38 items
Securities 38 items
Banks and banking - Service charges 37 items
Capital movements 37 items
Consumer protection 37 items
Econometrics 37 items
Federal Reserve banks - Service charges 37 items
Credit cards 36 items
Dollar, American 36 items
Imports 36 items
Capital 35 items
Debt 35 items
Phillips curve 35 items
time series analysis 35 items
Banking structure 34 items
Consumer Advisory Council 34 items
Economic conditions 34 items
Developing countries 33 items
Federal Reserve 33 items
Clearinghouses (Banking) 32 items
Economic development 32 items
Rational expectations (Economic theory) 32 items
Employment (Economic theory) 31 items
Globalization 31 items
Industrial capacity 31 items
COVID-19 31 items
Basel capital accord 30 items
Discount 30 items
Regulation B: Equal Credit Opportunity 30 items
Regulation CC: Availability of Funds and Collection of Checks 30 items
Bank lending 30 items
Financial crisis 29 items
Banks and banking, International 28 items
Budget 28 items
Deposit insurance 28 items
Inequality 28 items
Economics 27 items
Federal Reserve banks - Profits 27 items
Housing 27 items
Investments, Foreign 27 items
Regulation E: Electronic Fund Transfers 27 items
War finance 27 items
Wealth 27 items
Federal Reserve banks - Costs 26 items
Technology 26 items
Asset pricing 25 items
Expenditures, Public 25 items
Real property 25 items
Regulation D: Reserve Requirements of Depository Institutions 25 items
Regulation T: Credit by Brokers and Dealers 25 items
Stocks 25 items
Mexico 24 items
Effective lower bound 24 items
Zero lower bound 24 items
War - Economic aspects 23 items
Asset-backed financing 22 items
Bank failures 22 items
Banks 22 items
Germany 22 items
Labor productivity 22 items
Social security 22 items
Volcker, Paul A. 22 items
Bank management 21 items
Banks and banking, Central 21 items
Bonds 21 items
Households - Economic aspects 21 items
Regulation C: Home Mortgage Disclosure 21 items
Regulation H: Membership of State Banking Institutions in the Federal Reserve System 21 items
Hedge funds 20 items
International economic relations 20 items
Open market operations 20 items
Systemic risk 20 items
Great Recession 20 items
Discount window 19 items
Foreclosure 19 items
Human capital 19 items
Savings and loan associations 19 items
Volatility 19 items
Angell, Wayne D. 18 items
Brokers 18 items
Budget deficits 18 items
Education 18 items
Education - Economic aspects 18 items
Money market 18 items
Truth in Lending Act 18 items
Agricultural credit 17 items
Bank competition 17 items
Banking 17 items
Federal Reserve banks - Directors 17 items
Federal funds market (United States) 17 items
Foreign exchange 17 items
Futures 17 items
Household finance 17 items
Regulation G: Disclosure and Reporting of CRA-Related Agreements 17 items
Thrift Institutions Advisory Council 17 items
Bankruptcy 16 items
Check collection systems 16 items
Competition 16 items
Federal Reserve District, 2nd 16 items
Federal Reserve banks 16 items
Johnson, Manuel H. 16 items
Regulation 16 items
Agriculture - Economic aspects 15 items
Balance of trade 15 items
Bank assets 15 items
Climate change 15 items
Community banks 15 items
Economic policy 15 items
Emerging markets 15 items
Gold reserves 15 items
Great Britain 15 items
Heterogeneous agents 15 items
Interstate banking 15 items
Investment 15 items
Mullins, David W. 15 items
Mutual funds 15 items
Regulation X: Borrowers of Securities Credit 15 items
Retail trade 15 items
Retirement 15 items
Subprime mortgage 15 items
Surveys 15 items
Natural Language Processing 15 items
Bayesian estimation 14 items
Branch banks 14 items
Checks 14 items
Computers 14 items
Corporate bonds 14 items
Discrimination 14 items
Equilibrium (Economics) 14 items
Forward guidance 14 items
Inventories 14 items
Lindsey, Lawrence 14 items
Manufactures 14 items
Monetary theory 14 items
Pensions 14 items
Regulation DD: Truth in Savings 14 items
Statistics 14 items
Trade 14 items
Welfare 14 items
Year 2000 date conversion (Computer systems) 14 items
Aggregate risk 13 items
Banks and banking, Foreign - United States 13 items
Commercial real estate 13 items
Community development 13 items
Consolidation and merger of corporations 13 items
Consumption 13 items
Credit supply 13 items
Financial literacy 13 items
Flow of funds 13 items