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Bank:Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas 

Corporate Indebtedness: Improving Financial Stability Monitoring

U.S. nonfinancial corporate credit has been identified as an area where growth in the quantity of debt and deterioration in the quality of underwriting could be a source of concern.
Dallas Fed Economics

Journal Article
Houston's Fourth Ward; old neighborhood, new life

Banking and Community Perspectives , Issue 2 , Pages 1-8

Working Paper
A New Way to Quantify the Effect of Uncertainty

This paper develops a new way to quantify the effect of uncertainty and other higher-order moments. First, we estimate a nonlinear model using Bayesian methods with data on uncertainty, in addition to common macro time series. This key step allows us to decompose the exogenous and endogenous sources of uncertainty, calculate the effect of volatility following the cost of business cycles literature, and generate data-driven policy functions for any higherorder moment. Second, we use the Euler equation to analytically decompose consumption into several terms--expected consumption, the ex-ante ...
Working Papers , Paper 1705

More household savings offset increased government borrowing since 2008

Large government budget deficits over the past 15 years have led to a large increase in the stock of government debt. But these government deficits have been matched by an increase in U.S. household savings.
Dallas Fed Economics

Journal Article
Schumpeter in his own words

Economic Insights , Volume 6 , Issue 3

Journal Article
Money market deposit accounts versus money market mutual funds

Economic and Financial Policy Review , Issue Nov , Pages 29-38

Working Paper
What drives the German current account? and how does it affect other EU member states?

We estimate a three-country model using 1995-2013 data for Germany, the Rest of the Euro Area (REA) and the Rest of the World (ROW) to analyze the determinants of Germany?s current account surplus after the launch of the Euro. The most important factors driving the German surplus were positive shocks to the German saving rate and to ROW demand for German exports, as well as German labour market reforms and other positive German aggregate supply shocks. The convergence of REA interest rates to German rates due to the creation of the Euro only had a modest effect on the German current account ...
Globalization Institute Working Papers , Paper 176

Speech
Confessions of a data dependent

Remarks before the New York Association for Business Economics, New York, November 2, 2006 ; "Globalization brings new influences into the Fed's navigation calculations to determine the best flight path for the U.S. economy. To determine that course...we must develop a better understanding of the new forces exerting themselves on the aircraft we have been charged with flying. That aircraft no longer flies solely in domestic space, affected soley by domestic factors. Rather, it flies all over the world, requiring more sophisticated navigation instruments to monitor changing global and ...
Speeches and Essays , Paper 59

Speech
Vignettes of Dallas Fed history on the eve of our centennial (with grateful reference to George Dealey and a tip of the hat to Ebby Halliday, W.F. Ramsey, and Fed and Ginger)>

Remarks before the Dallas Historical Society, Dallas, TX, June 26, 2012 ; "This is probably the only Reserve Bank that owes its location to the local newspaper?in our case, the Dallas Morning News."
Speeches and Essays , Paper 120

Working Paper
The Business Cycle Mechanics of Search and Matching Models

This paper estimates a real business cycle model with unemployment driven by shocks to labor productivity and the job separation rate. We make two contributions. First, we develop a new identification scheme based on the matching elasticity that allows the model to perfectly match a range of labor market moments, including the volatilities of unemployment and vacancies. Second, we use our model to revisit the importance of shocks to the job separation rate and highlight how their correlation with labor productivity affects their transmission mechanism.
Working Papers , Paper 2026

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