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Journal Article
Making financial markets safer for consumers: lessons from consumer goods markets and beyond
Whitaker, Stephan D.; Littman, Daniel A.; Fitzpatrick, Thomas J. (2010-01)
In the wake of the mortgage meltdown, policymakers are discussing how best to protect consumers in financial product markets.
Forefront , Issue Winter , Pages 8-13

Working Paper
Underlying determinants of closed-bank resolution costs
Osterberg, William P.; Thomson, James B. (1994)
An analysis of the issues surrounding bank resolution costs, looking at failures from 1986 to 1992 and including proxies for fraud, off-balance-sheet risk, brokered deposits, and both regional and size effects. Evidence suggests there was a significant lag between the realization and recognition of losses on bank assets, and that regulators may have practiced forbearance.
Working Papers (Old Series) , Paper 9403

Working Paper
Predictive Modeling of Surveyed Property Conditions and Vacancy
Richter, Francisca; Urban, Apirl Hirsh; Oduro, Isaac; Whitaker, Stephan; Martin, Hal (2016-12-23)
Using the results of a comprehensive in-person survey of properties in Cleveland, Ohio, we fit predictive models of vacancy and property conditions. We draw predictor variables from administrative data that is available in most jurisdictions such as deed recordings, tax assessor?s property characteristics, and foreclosure filings. Using logistic regression and machine learning methods, we are able to make reasonably accurate out-of-sample predictions. Our findings indicate that housing professionals could use administrative data and predictive models to identify distressed properties between ...
Working Papers (Old Series) , Paper 1637

Working Paper
Earnings and wealth inequality and income taxation: quantifying the tradeoffs of switching to a proportional income tax in the U.S.
Castaneda, Ana; Azariadis, Costas; Ambrose, Brent W. (1998)
This paper quantifies the steady-state aggregate, distributional, and mobility effects of switching the U.S. to a proportional income tax system.
Working Papers (Old Series) , Paper 9814

Speech
Building Financial System Resilience
Mester, Loretta J. (2024-02-29)
To conclude, a resilient financial system plays an important role in ensuring a strong economy. After the global financial crisis, steps were taken to shore up the resilience of the banking system. Systemically important banking institutions have higher capital and liquidity buffers and better risk-management systems than they did. The sound banking system was able to lend important support to households and businesses throughout the pandemic. But the financial system is dynamic, with new products, business models, and technologies being introduced, and the economic environment can change ...
Speech

Working Paper
Nowcasting Tail Risks to Economic Activity with Many Indicators
Clark, Todd E.; Carriero, Andrea; Massimiliano, Marcellino (2020-05-11)
This paper focuses on tail risk nowcasts of economic activity, measured by GDP growth, with a potentially wide array of monthly and weekly information. We consider different models (Bayesian mixed frequency regressions with stochastic volatility, classical and Bayesian quantile regressions, quantile MIDAS regressions) and also different methods for data reduction (either the combination of forecasts from smaller models or forecasts from models that incorporate data reduction). The results show that classical and MIDAS quantile regressions perform very well in-sample but not out-of-sample, ...
Working Papers , Paper 20-13

Working Paper
The Ohio economy: using time series characteristics in forecasting
Balazsy, James J.; Hoehn, James G. (1985)
The premise of this study is that the regional economist can better understand the Ohio economy by studying the properties of important Ohio time series that can be identified and quantified through simple regression methods.
Working Papers (Old Series) , Paper 8508

Journal Article
Assessing Layoffs in Four Midwestern States during the Pandemic Recession
Krolikowski, Pawel; Hernandez-Murillo, Ruben (2020-08-05)
We use WARN data to assess layoffs in four Midwestern states during the current pandemic-induced recession—Kentucky, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and West Virginia. The data come from the advance layoff notices filed under the Worker Adjustment and Retraining Notification (WARN) Act. We find that the number of workers affected by layoff announcements rose sharply in the second half of March and April, and unexpected changes in economic conditions meant that workers received little advance notice before layoff. Layoff announcements have affected workers across these four states, and workers in mining ...
Economic Commentary , Volume 2020 , Issue 21 , Pages 6

Speech
Transitions: The Economy, Monetary Policy, and Policy Communications; 02.19.19, Lyons Companies and the Center for Economic Education and Entrepreneurship, Alfred Lerner College of Business and Economics, University of Delaware, Newark, DE
Mester, Loretta J. (2019-02-19)
If I had to choose a banner headline, I would characterize 2019 as a year of transitions, for the economy, for monetary policy, and for how we communicate about policy. I would like to spend my time this morning on some of the factors affecting these transitions. The views I?ll present today are my own and not necessarily those of the Federal Reserve System or my colleagues on the Federal Open Market Committee.
Speech , Paper 106

Working Paper
Relocation patterns in U.S. manufacturing
Lee, Yoonsoo (2006)
This paper summarizes relocation patterns in the U.S. manufacturing industry over the period 1972-1992, using plant- and firm-level data from the U.S. Census of Manufactures. This study contributes to the existing literature on firm dynamics by distinguishing entry due to relocation from entry by new firms, and exit due to relocation from permanent exit. In contrast to previous studies which report that entering plants experience relatively lower productivity, I find that some entering plants?specifically, those that are not new but merely relocated?have higher productivity. I also find a ...
Working Papers (Old Series) , Paper 0624

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