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Working Paper
Labor market policies in an equilibrium search model

We explore to what extent differences in employment and unemployment across economies can be generated by differences in labor market policies. We use a version of the Lucas-Prescott equilibrium search model with undirected search and endogenous labor-force participation. Minimum wages, degree of unionization, firing taxes, and unemployment benefits are introduced and their effects analyzed. When the model is calibrated to US observations it reproduces several of the elasticities of employment and unemployment with respect to changes in policies reported in the empirical literature. We find ...
Working Paper Series , Paper WP-99-10

Journal Article
Regional wage divergence and national wage inequality

Throughout much of the 1980s, wage inequality increased in the United States. Previous research has found that a rise in earnings by educational level and increased wage dispersion across occupations were important factors in the rise in wage inequality. Researchers, however, have noted that much of the rise in wage inequality was left unexplained by the demographic and industry factors that they examined. In this study, Keith R. Phillips extends the analysis by examining the impact on wage inequality of a divergence in regional wages that occurred during the 1980s. ; The author finds that ...
Economic and Financial Policy Review , Issue Q IV , Pages 31-44

Imports, trade policy, and union wage dynamics

Staff Memoranda , Paper 88-11

Working Paper
Discretion, wage indexation, and inflation

Research Working Paper , Paper 89-03

Working Paper
Import competition and wages: the role of the nontradable goods sector

Working Paper Series / Economic Activity Section , Paper 115

Journal Article
Labor compensation and inflation

Financial Letters , Issue May

Working Paper
Transitional dynamics of output and factor income shares: lessons from East Germany

I evaluate the quantitative implications of technology change and government policies for output and factor income shares during East Germany's transition since 1990. I model an economy that gains access to a high productivity technology embodied in new plants. As existing low productivity plants decrease production, the capital income share varies due to variation in the profit share of these plants. Two policies - transfers and government-mandated wage increases - have opposite effects on output growth, but both contribute to reducing the capital share during the transition. The model's ...
Globalization Institute Working Papers , Paper 43

Journal Article
Current topics: interagency guidance on allowance estimation practices Released; asset exchanges; social media ; district earnings trends; balance sheet strategies in the current environment; 2012 comprehensive capital analysis and review (CCAR)

The Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago's supervision group follows current and emerging risk trends on an on-going basis. This Risk Perspectives newsletter is designed to highlight a few current risk topics and some potential risk topics on the horizon for the Seventh District and its supervised financial institutions. The newsletter is not intended as an exhaustive list of the current or potential risk topics and should not be relied upon as such. We encourage each of our supervised financial institutions to remain informed about current and potential risks to its institution.
Risk Perspectives , Issue 1st Q

Working Paper
Industry localization and earnings inequality: evidence from U.S. manufacturing

While the productivity gains associated with the geographic concentration of industry (i.e. localization) are by now well-documented, little work has considered how those gains are distributed across individual workers. This paper offers evidence on the connection between total employment and the relative wage earnings of high- and low-skill workers (i.e. inequality) within two-digit manufacturing industries across the states and a collection of metropolitan areas in the U.S. between 1970 and 1990. Using two different measures - 90-10 percentile gaps in both overall and residual wages - I ...
Working Papers , Paper 2004-023

Structural change in U.S. wage determination

This paper provides an empirical investigation into the determinants and stability of the aggregate wage inflation process in the United States over the 1967-2000 period. Using compensation per hour as the measure of wages, we specify a Phillips curve model that links wage growth to its past values as well as to the unemployment rate, price inflation, labor productivity growth, and an additional set of labor market variables. The results do not reject the hypothesis that real wages and labor productivity move proportionally in the long run. More important, endogenous structural break tests ...
Staff Reports , Paper 117



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