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Keywords:Capital 

Working Paper
The magnitude and cyclical behavior of financial market frictions

We quantify the cross-sectional and time-series behavior of the wedge between the cost of external and internal finance by estimating the structural parameters of a canonical debt-contracting model with informational frictions. For this purpose, we construct a new dataset that includes balance sheet information, measures of expected default risk, and credit spreads on publicly traded debt for about 900 U.S. firms over the period 1997Q1 to 2003Q3. Using nonlinear least squares, we obtain precise time-specific estimates of the bankruptcy cost parameter and consistently reject the null ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series , Paper 2004-70

Working Paper
The impact of financial frictions on a small open economy: when current account borrowing hits a limit

The evidence of the last 20 years of recurring output busts and rapid reversals of the current account in emerging markets indicates that domestic agents may not be able to borrow in international capital markets to fully insure themselves against internal and external shocks. This paper models this phenomenon as a form of excess volatility by introducing a financial friction into a stochastic model of a small open economy. The financial friction limits the current account deficit to a fixed fraction of gross domestic product. The paper shows that conditional volatility and asymmetry are ...
Working Paper Series , Paper 2002-15

Working Paper
Roads to prosperity? assessing the link between public capital and productivity

At a macroeconomic level, infrastructure and productivity are positively correlated in the United States and other countries. However, it remains unclear whether this correlation reflects causation, and if so, whether causation runs from infrastructure to productivity, or the reverse. This paper focuses on roads, and finds that vehicle-intensive industries benefit disproportionately from road-building: when road growth changes, productivity growth changes more in industries that are more vehicle intensive. These results suggest that causation runs from infrastructure to productivity. However, ...
International Finance Discussion Papers , Paper 592

Conference Paper
Patterns of international capital flows and their implications for economic development

Proceedings - Economic Policy Symposium - Jackson Hole

Working Paper
Tobin's Q, investment, and endogenous adjustment of financial structure

An analysis of a q model of investment in which financial structure affects firm value, using a perfect foresight model of general equilibrium that includes a debt-related agency cost; uses the comparative statics and dynamics of changing the corporate tax rate as an illustration.
Working Papers (Old Series) , Paper 8801

Working Paper
Intangible capital and economic growth

Published macroeconomic data traditionally exclude most intangible investment from measured GDP. This situation is beginning to change, but our estimates suggest that as much as $800 billion is still excluded from U.S. published data (as of 2003), and that this leads to the exclusion of more than $3 trillion of business intangible capital stock. To assess the importance of this omission, we add intangible capital to the standard sources-of-growth framework used by the BLS, and find that the inclusion of our list of intangible assets makes a significant difference in the observed patterns of ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series , Paper 2006-24

Conference Paper
Inflation, financial markets and capital formation - commentary

Proceedings , Volume 78 , Issue May , Pages 38-40

Journal Article
Inflation, real interest tax wedges, and capital formation

William G. Dewald, director of research for the St. Louis Fed, examines how inflation magnifies the distorting effects of taxation when the tax treatment of interest income and expense is not fully indexed to inflation. The distortion involves a real interest tax wedge which is the difference between the real before-tax interest rate that influences fully taxed investors and the real after-tax interest rate that influences savers. Reducing the real tax wedge by eliminating inflation or indexing would stimulate private saving and nonresidential investment but decrease tax receipts and the tax ...
Review , Issue Jan , Pages 29-35

Working Paper
Interactions between domestic and foreign investment

This paper studies both the domestic and foreign fixed investment expenditures of a sample of U. S. multinational firms. In addition to explaining empirically each type of investment, an important goal is to determine whether there are significant interactions between expenditures in the different locations. ; Two types of interaction--one, financial, and the other, production-based--are explored theoretically and empirically. The financial interaction is the result of a model which assumes a risk of bankruptcy and its associated costs; under these circumstances, the firm faces an increasing ...
International Finance Discussion Papers , Paper 329

Working Paper
A bottleneck capital model of development

A convex marginal adjustment cost allows the neoclassical growth model to match observed transition paths for output growth, savings, investment, the real interest rate, and the shadow value of installed capital. Such an adjustment cost need apply only to one of two complementary capital inputs with minimal factor income share. The interaction of complementary capital inputs blurs the distinction between capital accumulation and productivity growth.
Research Working Paper , Paper RWP 01-10

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