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Journal Article
Changing U.S. trade patterns
Hervey, Jack L. (1990-03)
Economic Perspectives , Volume 14 , Issue Mar

Journal Article
The U.S. trade deficit: made in China?
Crowley, Meredith A.; Bown, Chad P.; McCulloch, Rachel; Nakajima, Daisuke J. (2005-10)
Rapid growth of the U.S. bilateral trade deficit with China has promoted a widespread view that the overall trade deficit is "made in China." The authors examine the probable consequences of increased protection directed toward U.S. imports from China. Their appraisal of recent and prospective U.S. trade policy focuses on textiles and apparel?sectors where the growth of imports from China has been prominent. They also consider the likely effects of yuan appreciation on the bilateral and overall trade deficits.
Economic Perspectives , Volume 29 , Issue Q IV , Pages 2-18

Report
Modelling U.S. services trade flows: a cointegration-ECM approach
Viana, Sandra; Hung, Juann H. (1995)
The U.S. service surplus soared from near zero in 1985 to about $60 billion in 1992, offsetting about two thirds of the goods trade deficit. Could this merely reflect improvement in data collection? Or does this mean U.S. services industries are more competitive internationally than goods industries? Is the services surplus likely to continue to rise? This paper estimates a forecastable model of U.S. services trade to address the above questions. We find that data improvement actually had a negative net impact on the services surplus, since it affected imports more than exports. Instead, the ...
Research Paper , Paper 9518

Working Paper
Fiscal policy and trade adjustment: are the deficits really twins?
Rosensweig, Jeffrey A.; Tallman, Ellis W. (1991)
FRB Atlanta Working Paper , Paper 91-2

Conference Paper
The cosmic risk: an essay on global imbalances and treasuries
Dooley, Michael P.; Garber, Peter M. (2005-02)
Proceedings , Issue Feb

Conference Paper
Historic imbalances and great debates: do the economists see it coming?
Berger, Suzanne (2006)
Today?s debates over the international flows of capital, goods, and services center around the puzzle of privilege?the possibility for some countries to enjoy ?an excess return on assets relative to liabilities allowing them to sustain larger trade deficits in equilibrium?--- as Christopher Meissner and Alan Taylor define it in their contribution to this conference (p.5). Why do foreigners, at apparently such low rates of return, continue to invest so heavily in the United States? Why do American investments abroad apparently earn higher returns than others derive operating in the same ...
Conference Series ; [Proceedings] , Volume 51

Speech
The U.S. economic outlook
Dudley, William (2010)
Remarks at the Washington and Lee University H. Parker Willis Lecture in Political Economics, Lexington, Virginia.
Speech , Paper 20

Conference Paper
The revived Bretton Woods system: does it explain developments in non-China developing Asia?
Kamin, Steven B. (2005-02)
Proceedings , Issue Feb

Conference Paper
The U.S. current account deficit: collateral for a total return swap
Dooley, Michael P.; Garber, Peter M. (2005-02)
Proceedings , Issue Feb

Working Paper
Expansionary fiscal shocks and the trade deficit
Gust, Christopher J.; Guerrieri, Luca; Erceg, Christopher J. (2005)
In this paper, we use an open economy DGE model (SIGMA) to assess the quantitative effects of fiscal shocks on the trade balance in the United States. We examine the effects of two alternative fiscal shocks: a rise in government consumption, and a reduction in the labor income tax rate. Our salient finding is that a fiscal deficit has a relatively small effect on the U.S. trade balance, irrespective of whether the source is a spending increase or tax cut. In our benchmark calibration, we find that a rise in the fiscal deficit of one percentage point of GDP induces the trade balance to ...
International Finance Discussion Papers , Paper 825

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