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Keywords:Economic indicators 

Journal Article
Office flu shots, anyone?

Some district office markets still recovering from downturn, but some never got sick in the first place
Fedgazette , Volume 16 , Issue Mar , Pages 22-23

Journal Article
The 2001 recession and the Chicago Fed National Index: identifying business cycle turning points

The initial release of the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) in early 2001 pointed to the very real possibility that the U.S. economy was teetering on the brink of recession. This article quantifies the statistical ability of the CFNAI to act as an early warning indicator of economic recessions. In simulation experiments, the CFNAI performed virtually as well as the statistical model's ideal measure of the business cycle.
Economic Perspectives , Volume 26 , Issue Q III , Pages 26-43

Speech
The recovery’s final frontier?

Presentation to the Mesa Chamber of Commerce Mesa, Arizona, July 15, 2015
Speech , Paper 150

Journal Article
Regional economic developments

Econ Focus , Volume 8 , Issue Spr , Pages 42-47

Speech
The recovery’s final frontier?

Presentation to International Conference of Commercial Bank Economists, Los Angeles, California, July 8, 2015
Speech , Paper 141

Journal Article
Regional update

Southwest Economy , Issue Mar , Pages 7

Journal Article
Economic activity weakens

Review , Volume 49 , Issue Mar

Journal Article
Fiscal restraint, total demand and monetary policy

Review , Volume 50 , Issue Aug , Pages 3-6

Journal Article
The Texas index of leading economic indicators: a revision and further evaluation

In this article, Keith R. Phillips revises the Texas index of leading economic indicators that he introduced two years ago. He does so in response to recent structural changes in the state economy and the availability of new data. The Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas has produced the Texas leading index monthly since July 1988. ; Using a newly developed technique for evaluating leading indexes, Phillips finds that the revised Texas leading index has performed well in predicting movements in the Texas economy since 1981. He also finds that monthly revisions in the leading index are generally ...
Economic and Financial Policy Review , Issue Jul , Pages 17-25

Journal Article
Measuring consumption: the post-1973 slowdown and the research issues - commentary

Review , Issue May , Pages 43-46

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