Search Results
Journal Article
Economic Activity during the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Model with “Acquired Immunity”
Carranza, Juan Esteban; Riascos, Álvaro José; Martin, Juan David
(2022)
We calibrate a macroeconomic model with epidemiological restrictions using Colombian data. The key feature of our model is that a portion of the population is immune and cannot transmit the virus, which improves substantially the fit of the model to the observed contagion and economic activity data. The model implies that during 2020, government restrictions and the endogenous changes in individual behavior saved around 15,000 lives and decreased consumption by about 4.7 percent. The results suggest that most of this effect was the result of government policies.
Review
, Volume 104
, Issue 1
, Pages 1-16
Working Paper
An Empirical Analysis of the Cost of Borrowing
Faria-e-Castro, Miguel; Kozlowski, Julian; Jordan-Wood, Samuel
(2024-07-15)
We examine borrowing costs for firms using a security-level database with bank loans and corporate bonds issued by U.S. companies. We find significant within-firm dispersion in borrowing rates, even after controlling for security and firm observable characteristics. Obtaining a bank loan is 132 basis points cheaper than issuing a bond, after accounting for observable factors. Changes in borrowing costs have persistent negative impacts on firm-level outcomes, such as investment and borrowing, and these effects vary across sectors. These findings contribute to our understanding of borrowing ...
Working Papers
, Paper 2024-016
Working Paper
Responding to COVID-19: A Note
Tavares, Marina; Drozd, Lukasz A.
(2020-04-14)
We consider several epidemiological simulations of the COVID-19 pandemic using the textbook SIR model and discuss the basic implications of these results for crafting an adequate response to the ensuing economic crisis. Our simulations are meant to be illustrative of the findings reported in the epidemiological literature using more sophisticated models (e.g., Ferguson et al. (2020)). The key observation we stress is that moderating the epidemiological response of social distancing according to the models may come at a steep price of extending the duration of the pandemic and hence the time ...
Working Papers
, Paper 20-14
Working Paper
Fiscal Policy during a Pandemic
Faria-e-Castro, Miguel
(2020-03-24)
I study the effects of the 2019-20 coronavirus outbreak in the United States and subsequent fiscal policy response in a nonlinear DSGE model. The pandemic is a shock to the utility of contact-intensive services that propagates to other sectors via general equilibrium, triggering a deep recession. I use a calibrated version of the model to analyze different types of fiscal policies. I find that UI benefits are the most effective tool to stabilize income for borrowers, who are the hardest hit, while savers may favor unconditional transfers. Liquidity assistance programs are effective if the ...
Working Papers
, Paper 2020-006
Discussion Paper
The Rapidly Changing Nature of Japan’s Public Debt
Wheeler, Harry; Klitgaard, Thomas
(2016-06-22)
Japan’s general government debt-to-GDP ratio is the highest of advanced economies, due in part to increased spending on social services for an aging population and a level of nominal GDP that has not increased for two decades. The interest rate payments from taxpayers on this debt are moderated by income earned on government assets and by low interest rates. One might think that the Bank of Japan’s purchases of government bonds would further ease the burden on taxpayers, with interest payments to the Bank of Japan on its bond holdings rebated back to the government. Merging the balance ...
Liberty Street Economics
, Paper 20160622
Discussion Paper
Transparency and Sources of Information on the Federal Reserve’s Operations, Income, and Balance Sheet
Leonard, Deborah; Fleming, Michael J.
(2013-08-16)
This week-long series examined the evolution of the Federal Reserve's securities portfolio and its performance over time. While the intent has been to enhance understanding of the Fed's activities, the Federal Reserve has long maintained a commitment to transparency and accountability. The historical information presented in these posts represents the work of New York Fed staff to collect portfolio-related information from annual statements and reports, most of which are public. To enhance public access, the resulting time series we compiled are being provided in downloadable Excel files ...
Liberty Street Economics
, Paper 20130816
Working Paper
Inequality, inflation, and central bank independence
Wynne, Mark A.; Dolmas, Jim; Huffman, Gregory W.
(1997)
What can account for the different contemporaneous inflation experiences of various countries, and of the same country over time? We present an analysis of the determination of inflation from a political economy perspective. We document a positive correlation between income inequality and inflation and then present a theory of the determination of inflation outcomes in democratic societies that illustrates how greater inequality leads to greater inflation, owing to a desire by voters for wealth redistribution. We conclude by showing that democracies with more independent central banks tend to ...
Working Papers
, Paper 9705
Working Paper
Modeling to Inform Economy-Wide Pandemic Policy: Bringing Epidemiologists and Economists Together
Darden, Michael; Dowdy, David; Gardner, Lauren; Hamilton, Barton; Kopecky, Karen A.; Marx, Melissa; Papageorge, Nicholas; Polsky, Daniel; Powers, Kimberly; Stuart, Elizabeth; Zahn, Matthew
(2021-11-16)
Facing unprecedented uncertainty and drastic trade-offs between public health and other forms of human well-being, policymakers during the Covid-19 pandemic have sought the guidance of epidemiologists and economists. Unfortunately, while both groups of scientists use many of the same basic mathematical tools, the models they develop to inform policy tend to rely on different sets of assumptions and, thus, often lead to different policy conclusions. This divergence in policy recommendations can lead to uncertainty and confusion, opening the door to disinformation, distrust of institutions, and ...
FRB Atlanta Working Paper
, Paper 2021-26
Working Paper
Modeling to Inform Economy-Wide Pandemic Policy: Bringing Epidemiologists and Economists Together
Darden, Michael; Dowdy, David; Gardner, Lauren; Hamilton, Barton; Kopecky, Karen A.; Marx, Melissa; Papageorge, Nicholas; Polsky, Daniel; Powers, Kimberly; Stuart, Elizabeth; Zahn, Matthew; Agarwal, Sumit
(2021-11-16)
Facing unprecedented uncertainty and drastic trade-offs between public health and other forms of human well-being, policymakers during the Covid-19 pandemic have sought the guidance of epidemiologists and economists. Unfortunately, while both groups of scientists use many of the same basic mathematical tools, the models they develop to inform policy tend to rely on different sets of assumptions and, thus, often lead to different policy conclusions. This divergence in policy recommendations can lead to uncertainty and confusion, opening the door to disinformation, distrust of institutions, and ...
FRB Atlanta Working Paper
, Paper 2021-26
Working Paper
An Empirical Analysis of the Cost of Borrowing
Faria-e-Castro, Miguel; Jordan-Wood, Samuel; Kozlowski, Julian
(2025-11-03)
We empirically study firm financing costs using a comprehensive dataset of corporate bonds and bank loans. We construct a measure of the cost of financing, the ExcessDebt Premium, which controls for observable debt characteristics. We document two key findings: first, bank loans are about 97 basis points cheaper than corporate bonds when controlling for observable characteristics. Second, there is significant dispersion in borrowing costs, even within the same firm and quarter. The analysis reveals that this within firm variation persists after accounting for instrument type, maturity, ...
Working Papers
, Paper 2024-016
FILTER BY year
FILTER BY Bank
Federal Reserve Bank of New York 19 items
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 12 items
Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta 2 items
Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis 2 items
Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago 1 items
Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas 1 items
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia 1 items
Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond 1 items
show more (3)
show less
FILTER BY Series
Liberty Street Economics 18 items
Working Papers 13 items
FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2 items
Opportunity and Inclusive Growth Institute Working Papers 2 items
Review 1 items
Staff Reports 1 items
Working Paper 1 items
Working Paper Series 1 items
show more (3)
show less
FILTER BY Content Type
FILTER BY Author
Faria-e-Castro, Miguel 11 items
Kozlowski, Julian 8 items
Jordan-Wood, Samuel 5 items
Chakrabarti, Rajashri 4 items
Haughwout, Andrew F. 4 items
Del Negro, Marco 3 items
Ebsim, Mahdi 3 items
Adrian, Tobias 2 items
Clark, Hunter L. 2 items
Crump, Richard K. 2 items
Darden, Michael 2 items
Diamond, Peter A. 2 items
Dowdy, David 2 items
Gardner, Lauren 2 items
Hamilton, Barton 2 items
Hyman, Benjamin 2 items
Klitgaard, Thomas 2 items
Kopecky, Karen A. 2 items
Marx, Melissa 2 items
Owens, Raymond E. 2 items
Papageorge, Nicholas 2 items
Pham, Thu 2 items
Pierce, Beckett 2 items
Pinkovskiy, Maxim L. 2 items
Polsky, Daniel 2 items
Powers, Kimberly 2 items
Remache, Julie 2 items
Rossi-Hansberg, Esteban 2 items
Sarte, Pierre-Daniel G. 2 items
Stuart, Elizabeth 2 items
Yu, Rui 2 items
Zahn, Matthew 2 items
Agarwal, Sumit 1 items
Bukhari, Meryam 1 items
Cambron, Alyssa 1 items
Carranza, Juan Esteban 1 items
Cipriani, Marco 1 items
Correia, Sergio A. 1 items
De Giorgi, Giacomo 1 items
Dolmas, Jim 1 items
Drozd, Lukasz A. 1 items
Fleming, Michael J. 1 items
Heggeness, Misty 1 items
Huffman, Gregory W. 1 items
Kovner, Anna 1 items
Krishnan, Neel 1 items
La Spada, Gabriele 1 items
Leonard, Deborah 1 items
Lieber, Matthew 1 items
Luck, Stephan 1 items
Mabutas, Maricar 1 items
Martin, Antoine 1 items
Martin, Juan David 1 items
McAndrews, James J. 1 items
Nee, Shawn 1 items
Orr, James A. 1 items
Peach, Richard 1 items
Riascos, Álvaro José 1 items
Sarkar, Asani 1 items
Sims, Christopher A. 1 items
Tavares, Marina 1 items
Verner, Emil 1 items
Wheeler, Harry 1 items
Wynne, Mark A. 1 items
Zafar, Basit 1 items
de Souza, Gustavo 1 items
http://fedora:8080/fcrepo/rest/objects/authors/ 1 items
show more (62)
show less
FILTER BY Jel Classification
E6 10 items
G01 8 items
G1 5 items
I1 4 items
D1 3 items
E5 3 items
C8 2 items
E1 2 items
E21 2 items
E24 2 items
F0 2 items
F00 2 items
I21 2 items
J0 2 items
R0 2 items
R1 2 items
D12 1 items
D13 1 items
D14 1 items
D3 1 items
D7 1 items
E2 1 items
E52 1 items
E58 1 items
E60 1 items
E62 1 items
G2 1 items
H4 1 items
H7 1 items
I28 1 items
J10 1 items
J12 1 items
Q1 1 items
show more (29)
show less
FILTER BY Keywords
COVID-19 10 items
credit spreads 7 items
bonds 6 items
fiscal policy 6 items
loans 5 items
macro-finance 5 items
pandemic 4 items
Great Recession 3 items
CARES Act 2 items
Covid-19 2 items
Economic Heterogeneity Indicators (EHIs) 2 items
K-shaped economy 2 items
Numerator 2 items
Puerto Rico 2 items
behavior modeling 2 items
debt 2 items
discounting 2 items
economics 2 items
epidemiology 2 items
health outcomes 2 items
health-wealth tradeoffs 2 items
heterogeneity 2 items
inequality 2 items
liquidity 2 items
monetary policy 2 items
public health 2 items
social security 2 items
spending 2 items
term premiums 2 items
term structure of interest rates 2 items
Child welfare 1 items
College Tuition 1 items
Credit Spreads 1 items
Difference-in-difference estimation 1 items
Divorce 1 items
Education 1 items
European debt crisis 1 items
Family law 1 items
Government size 1 items
Household bargaining 1 items
Japan 1 items
Liquidity 1 items
MLF 1 items
Public Spending 1 items
Regional Economics 1 items
SIR model 1 items
SOMA 1 items
Treasury securities 1 items
Urban Economics 1 items
asset purchase programs 1 items
balance of payments 1 items
bank failures 1 items
bank regulation 1 items
bank runs 1 items
bank supervision 1 items
bankruptcy 1 items
borrowing 1 items
budget deficits 1 items
central bank balance sheets 1 items
central bank’s balance sheet 1 items
containment policies 1 items
cream skimming 1 items
debt ceiling 1 items
debt ceiling 2011 1 items
deficits 1 items
deposit insurance 1 items
economic activity 1 items
facility 1 items
federal government 1 items
financial account 1 items
financial flows 1 items
financial stability 1 items
fiscal consolidation 1 items
fiscal sustainability 1 items
government debt 1 items
government policy 1 items
income 1 items
interest 1 items
investment 1 items
local governments 1 items
market 1 items
money market mutual funds (MMF) 1 items
municipal 1 items
municipal debt 1 items
municipal debt markets 1 items
municipal government 1 items
net income 1 items
nonlinear DSGE 1 items
portfolio 1 items
private schools 1 items
public goods 1 items
reserves 1 items
saving 1 items
securities 1 items
solvency 1 items
sorting 1 items
state and local governments 1 items
state government 1 items
vouchers 1 items
weather 1 items
show more (95)
show less