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Working Paper
Does Access to Free Pre-Kindergarten Increase Maternal Labor Supply?
In this paper, we evaluate the effects of free pre-kindergarten (pre-K) programs on the labor force participation (LFP) of mothers. We use variation in pre-K rules across all US states, including income eligibility requirements in some states. To estimate the causal effects of access to pre-K on labor supply, we exploit the panel aspect of the monthly Current Population Survey between 2002 and 2019. Specifically, we look at the change in labor market behavior of women when their child becomes age-eligible for pre-K, controlling for individual factors. We find that access to free pre-K ...
Working Paper
Beyond Banks: Trust Among the Financially Underserved
In 2023, over 18 percent of US households were either unbanked or underbanked, a group commonly referred to as financially underserved (e.g., see Burhouse, Navarro and Osaki (2016)). Prior work and survey evidence identify a lack of broad-scope trust in banks as an important reason for financial exclusion (e.g., FDIC (2024), Falcettoni and Nygaard (2025), and Xu (2020)). Yet it is not clear whether this mistrust is unique to banks or whether it extends to other institutions, such as government entities or nonbank providers of account services. This distinction matters for policymakers when ...
Working Paper
The Impact of Labels on Real Asset Valuations
Expectations and sentiment of economic agents about financial prospects are both the drivers and the leading indicators of economic phenomena. This paper shows that neighborhood labels, frequently used in realtors’ property descriptions, have a causal impact on the demand for housing. Results indicate that appraised values, house prices and rents increased in minority neighborhoods upon removal of neighborhood labels. The underlying mechanism likely works through forming expectations about future growth in housing markets, as documented by the decrease in the rent-to-price ratio and lack of ...
Working Paper
Suitability of a County-Level Income Definition for Analysis of Lower-Income Communities
This paper examines the costs and benefits of using a straightforward county-level income definition in the classification and study of lower-income communities. A definition based on population-weighted distribution of county-level median household incomes does a good job of identifying the most economically disadvantaged communities across a wide range of indicators. We show robustness to the use of different thresholds, levels of geography, and cost-of-living adjustments.
Working Paper
Rates of return on private and public businesses
Privately owned business assets are an important source of wealth for families across the world, but measurement issues are believed to hamper our understanding of these firms. We use income and valuations of private firms in the Survey of Consumer Finances (SCF), first validating the data against external aggregates and then using these data to find rates of return for private firms. With the exception of the years leading up to the Global Financial Crisis, overall rates of return on public firms have generally outpaced rates of return on private firms during the past 30 years.
Working Paper
The Effect of Liquidity Constraints on Labor Supply: Evidence from Interest Rate Ceilings
We exploit the spatiotemporal variation in US states’ interest rate ceilings on small-dollar loans to identify the effect of liquidity constraints on labor supply. Exogenously-capped interest rates lead to consumers being shut out of the market for cash loans. In response, labor supply increases by approximately 0.4 hours per week. We also find that the propensity to take personal leaves decreases. Labor supply, therefore, is used to overcome financial constraints, but is not the only method: the effect on earnings is less than many small-dollar loans, suggesting that borrowers employ ...
Working Paper
Financial Well-being and Inclusion of Justice Involved Populations: Evidence from the SHED
This study examines financial challenges faced by justice-involved individuals using 2023-2024 Survey of Household Economics and Decisionmaking data. Individuals with justice system contact experience substantially worse financial outcomes than those without criminal records, with disparities widening by severity of involvement. Compared to individuals with no prior records, those arrested but not convicted are 4 percentage points less likely to report doing at least okay financially, while formerly convicted as well as incarcerated adults are 15 percentage points less likely. Formerly ...
Working Paper
Consumption-Based Asset Pricing When Consumers Make Mistakes
I analyze the implications of allowing consumers to make mistakes on the risk-return relationships predicted by consumption-based asset pricing models. I allow for consumption mistakes using a model in which a portfolio manager selects investments on a consumer's behalf. The consumer has an arbitrary consumption policy that could reflect a wide range of mistakes. For power utility, expected returns do not generally depend on exposure to single-period consumption shocks, but robustly depend on exposure to both long-run consumption and expected return shocks. I empirically show that separately ...
Working Paper
The Smart Money is in Cash? Financial Literacy and Liquid Savings Among U.S. Families
Most financial advisors recommend storing three to six months of expenses in liquid assets in case of an emergency. Yet we estimate that more than half of U.S. families do not have at least three months of their non-discretionary expenses in liquid savings. We find that financial literacy is strongly predictive of having three months of liquid savings, controlling for income, income variability, and even parental resources. We also find that financial literacy predicts liquid savings across the income distribution. These results indicate that accumulation of an emergency fund is not ...
Working Paper
Cost of Banking for LMI and Minority Communities
We test whether minimum account balances to avoid fees, maintenance fee amounts, and nonsufficient funds charges are systematically different in LMI and majority-minority communities relative to other communities and find that they are generally higher. The minimum account balance to avoid fees on a noninterest checking account is about $45 higher on average in LMI Census tracts than in higher income tracts, and more than $70 higher on average in majority-minority tracts than in majority-white tracts. We investigate potential sources of these differences such as bank business models, ...