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Series:FEDS Notes 

Discussion Paper
November 2014 Update of the FRB/US Model

This FEDS Note is a companion to the most recent release of the FRB/US model of the U.S. economy available at http://www.federalreserve.gov/econresdata/frbus/us-models-about.htm. The purpose of this note is twofold. First, it briefly outlines and describes the changes to the structure of the public version of FRB/US since its introduction in the spring of 2014. In addition, it compares the dynamics of the current version to that of the original version in response to key shocks.
FEDS Notes , Paper 2014-11-21-2

Discussion Paper
Credibility of Optimal Forward Guidance at the Interest Rate Lower Bound

Market participants and other analysts generally expect that the federal funds rate will rise from its effective lower bound (ELB) later this year. However, the ELB could again become a binding constraint on monetary policy in the future.
FEDS Notes , Paper 2015-08-27

Discussion Paper
The Persistent Urban Shortfall in Leisure and Hospitality Employment

As a high-contact service sector with limited capacity for remote work, the US leisure and hospitality sector—which includes restaurants, bars, hotels, museums, and movie theaters—was hit particularly hard by the COVID-19 pandemic. In the first two months of the pandemic, leisure and hospitality lost over 8 million jobs, nearly half its employment (Figure 1, solid red line).
FEDS Notes , Paper 2023-07-28-1

Discussion Paper
Implementing Monetary Policy in an "Ample-Reserves" Regime: When in Crisis (Note 3 of 3)

Note 1 and Note 2 in this three-part series described how the Federal Reserve (or Fed) implements monetary policy in normal times, with an ample quantity of reserves in the banking system. In this third and final Note in our series, we take a detour in light of current circumstances and describe how the Fed operates amid a crisis—when facing severely strained economic or financial circumstances, or both.
FEDS Notes , Paper 2020-10-02

Discussion Paper
Dementia Harms Household Finances Years before Clinical Recognition

Alzheimer's Disease and Related Dementias (ADRD) are medical conditions characterized by deteriorating cognitive functions that are estimated to impact nearly 12 million older Americans by 2050. ADRD impedes independence in daily activities through symptoms including difficulties with memory and attention span, impaired judgement, and changing risk preferences. There are currently no effective medical treatments to delay or reverse symptoms of ADRD.
FEDS Notes , Paper 2020-12-03-2

Discussion Paper
A Note On Revolving Credit Estimates

Revolving credit represents a notable share of consumer debt and is an important part of house- hold balance sheets. At the end of 2023, revolving credit was measured at over $1.3 trillion in the Z.1 Statistical Release, "Financial Accounts of the United States," and accounted for more than 25 per- cent of total consumer credit.
FEDS Notes , Paper 2024-06-14-1

Discussion Paper
Do Marketplace Lending Platforms Offer Lower Rates to Consumers?

This note analyzes interest rates of loans from the two largest P2P platforms, Lending Club and Prosper, to observe their potential benefits to borrowers.
FEDS Notes , Paper 2018-10-22

Discussion Paper
The Expected Real Interest Rate in the Long Run : Time Series Evidence with the Effective Lower Bound

In response to the global financial crisis, the Federal Open Market Committee lowered the target for the federal funds rate to a range of 0 to 25 basis points in December 2008, and maintained that target range until the end of 2015. Over that same period, longer-term interest rates in the United States were at historically low levels.
FEDS Notes , Paper 2016-02-09

Discussion Paper
U.S. Interest Rates and Emerging Market Currencies: Taking Stock 10 Years After the Taper Tantrum

In 2013, a shift in expectations of market participants for the timing of the tapering of the Federal Reserve's asset purchases, and its ramifications for normalization of U.S. monetary policy, led to sharp increases in longer-term U.S. Treasury yields and volatility in broader financial markets. The episode came to be known as the "taper tantrum" because the strong market reaction came in response to Federal Reserve communications that were largely consistent with market analysts' expectations.
FEDS Notes , Paper 2023-10-04

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