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Discussion Paper
The Expected Real Interest Rate in the Long Run : Time Series Evidence with the Effective Lower Bound
Johannsen, Benjamin K.; Mertens, Elmar
(2016-02-09)
In response to the global financial crisis, the Federal Open Market Committee lowered the target for the federal funds rate to a range of 0 to 25 basis points in December 2008, and maintained that target range until the end of 2015. Over that same period, longer-term interest rates in the United States were at historically low levels.
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, Paper 2016-02-09
Discussion Paper
2nd Annual International Roles of the U.S. Dollar Conference
Chaboud, Alain P.; Correa, Ricardo; Douglass, Patrick; Goldberg, Linda S.; Londono, Juan M.; Ravazzolo, Fabiola
(2023-06-23)
The U.S. dollar plays a central role in the global economy. In addition to being the most widely used currency in foreign exchange transactions, it represents the largest share in official reserves, international debt securities and loans, cross-border payments, and trade invoicing.
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, Paper 2023-06-23-4
Discussion Paper
Inflation Perceptions During the Covid Pandemic and Recovery
Lebow, David E.; Peneva, Ekaterina V.
(2024-01-19)
Since 2016, the Michigan Surveys of Consumers (MSC) have included questions on inflation perceptions—what people believe inflation to have been—that are worded symmetrically with their long-standing questions on inflation expectations. The questions on inflation perceptions are currently posed four times a year—in February, May, August, and November. Using available data at the time, Axelrod, Lebow, and Peneva (2018) concluded that inflation expectations and perceptions are very similar and that if perceptions were to change, expectations were likely to change as well.
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, Paper 2024-01-19-3
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