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Series:Economic Perspectives 

Journal Article
The credit restraint program in perspective

Excerpts from a speech to the Assembly for Bank Directors, Southhampton Princess, Bermuda, May 26, 1980
Economic Perspectives , Volume 4 , Issue Jul

Journal Article
When can we forecast inflation?

This article reassesses recent work that has challenged the usefulness of inflation forecasts. The authors find that inflation forecasts were informative in 1977-84 and 1993-2000, but less informative in 1985-92. They also find that standard forecasting models, while generally poor at forecasting the magnitude of inflation, are good at forecasting the direction of change of inflation.
Economic Perspectives , Volume 26 , Issue Q I , Pages 32-44

Journal Article
Evaluating the role of labor market mismatch in rising unemployment

Recent labor market trends have raised concerns that the unemployment rate is high not because employers are reluctant to hire but because they are unable to hire. These concerns, if true, would cast doubt on using monetary policy to stimulate the labor market, since it works by encouraging firms to hire more. Using a matching function approach, the author finds that a shock that makes it more difficult for firms to hire qualified applicants would by itself imply an unemployment rate of no more than 7.1 percent, much below the actual unemployment rate during the past two years. Hence, the ...
Economic Perspectives , Volume 35 , Issue Q III , Pages 82-96

Journal Article
The geographic evolution of the U.S. auto industry (pt. 2)

The authors examine changes in the footprint of the auto industry in the United States, starting in 1980 and tracking them through 2003. Their formal analysis of assembly and supplier plant locations traces the reorientation of the auto region from one that extends east?west to one that stretches north?south over this period. To accommodate the large size of the file and the number of illustrations, the article has been divided into two smaller files.
Economic Perspectives , Volume 30 , Issue Q II

Journal Article
Electronic funds transfer: revolution postponed

Economic Perspectives , Volume 4 , Issue Nov

Journal Article
Is deposit rate deregulation an Rx for M1?

Economic Perspectives , Volume 9 , Issue Sep

Journal Article
Determinants of automobile loan default and prepayment

The authors examine whether a borrower?s choice of automobile reveals information about future loan performance. They find that loans on most luxury automobiles have a higher probability of prepayment, while loans on most economy automobiles have a lower probability of default, even when holding traditional risk factors, such as income and credit score, constant.
Economic Perspectives , Volume 32 , Issue Q III

Journal Article
Competitive pricing behavior in the U.S. steel industry

Economic Perspectives , Volume 13 , Issue Mar

Journal Article
Stock margins and the condition probability of price reversals

Does the cost of trading affect stock prices? Yes, according to the evidence in this article. The authors find that high costs seem to reduce the frequency of price reversals.
Economic Perspectives , Volume 25 , Issue Q III , Pages 2-12

Journal Article
Assessing the condition of Japanese banks: how informative are accounting earnings?

This article examines the accounting and stock market performance of banks from 1991 to 1997. Overall, the results indicate that the accounting, disclosure, and regulatory practices of Japanese banks have drive a wedge between their accounting and stock market returns in recent years and, furthermore, that regulatory forbearance might have become a more important source of value to shareholders than the value of assets in place.
Economic Perspectives , Volume 22 , Issue Q IV , Pages 12-34

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