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Series:Chicago Fed Letter 

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Can higher education foster economic growth?

On October 30, 2006, the Chicago Fed will host a conference on higher education?s role in economic growth. Speakers will include Richard Lester of MIT, Michael Luger of the University of North Carolina, Ned Hill of Cleveland State, Sean Safford of the University of Chicago Graduate School of Business, Larry Isaak of the Midwest Higher Education Compact, and Randy Eberts of the Upjohn Institute.
Chicago Fed Letter , Issue Aug

Newsletter
Are the Federal Reserve’s “Other Deposits” Sensitive to Changes in Interest Rates?

When the Federal Reserve reduces the size of its balance sheet through quantitative tightening,1 changes in nonreserve liabilities impact the level of reserves in the U.S. banking system.2 In this article, I examine the category of “other deposits” on the liability side of the Fed’s balance sheet—namely, the deposits with Federal Reserve Banks other than bank reserve balances—to understand its evolution since March 2020, when the Covid-19 pandemic hit the U.S. I find that deposits of U.S. central counterparties (CCPs)3 at the Federal Reserve Banks (what I am referring to as “CCP ...
Chicago Fed Letter , Volume 504 , Pages 8

Newsletter
Check Up Before You Check Out

Retail clinics offer convenient, low-cost preventive health care and treatment for minor injury and illness. When a retail clinic opens, the rate of visits to the emergency room for these low-severity conditions declines for people who live in close proximity.
Chicago Fed Letter , Issue 428

Newsletter
Housing Markets in a Time of Crisis: A Historical Perspective

As the coronavirus (Covid-19) public health crisis unfolds, a second crisis in the economy is developing as well. One economic concern, among many, is the debt burden of households. Early reports point to a surge in unemployment claims during March 2020, raising the prospect that widespread unemployment is likely to impair the ability of households to make payments on their home mortgages and other loans in the months ahead. This represents a potential crisis in mortgage markets, as borrowers who are temporarily unemployed—but for an unknown period—may face default on their mortgages.
Chicago Fed Letter , Issue 433

Newsletter
A Risk-Premium Adjustment to the Policy Rate Path

We offer a method to derive a risk-premium adjustment to the risk-neutral policy rate path implied by raw financial quotes. Our method aims to preserve the information derived from high-frequency data, while also filtering out noise unrelated to future macro-finance conditions.
Chicago Fed Letter , Issue 432

Newsletter
Some inflation scenarios for the American Rescue Plan Act of 2021

The American Rescue Plan Act (ARP) signed into law on March 11, 2021, authorized approximately $1.9 trillion in federal government spending. ARP is widely expected to boost economic growth over the next two to three years—and significantly so early on. The upswing in growth is likely to increase resource pressures and therefore consumer price inflation as well. The potential for this channel to raise inflation substantially has attracted the attention of economic commentators, including Olivier Blanchard and Lawrence Summers. But the magnitudes and persistence of the possible increases in ...
Chicago Fed Letter , Issue 453 , Pages 8

Newsletter
Economic Outlook Symposium: summary of 2011 results and 2012 forecasts

According to participants in the Chicago Fed?s annual Economic Outlook Symposium, the U.S. economy is forecasted to grow at a pace below its historical average in 2012, following a year with an even slower rate of growth; inflation is expected to ease in 2012; and the unemployment rate is predicted to edge down this year.
Chicago Fed Letter , Issue Feb

Newsletter
Is the public capital stock too low?

Chicago Fed Letter , Issue Oct

Newsletter
Public finance in the Midwest: the calm before the storm?

Chicago Fed Letter , Issue Sep

Newsletter
Financial Accounting Standard no. 133--the reprieve

Chicago Fed Letter , Issue Jul

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