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Investigating the Role of Geography in Economics
Hannah Rubinton, an economist at the St. Louis Fed, explores how geography might affect one’s college attainment.
How Income Volatility Affects Food Volatility
Family income volatility can affect children negatively in the long term, but it can also determine how much parents are able to spend on food.
Working Paper
Inequality in the Welfare Costs of Disinflation
We use an incomplete markets economy to quantify the distribution of welfare gains and losses of the US "Volcker" disinflation. In the long run households prefer low inflation, but disinflation requires a transition period and a redistribution from net nominal borrowers to net nominal savers. Even with perfectly flexible prices, welfare costs may be significant for households with nominal liabilities. When calibrated to match the micro and macro moments of the early 1980s high inflation environment, almost half of all borrowers (14 percent of all households) would prefer to avoid the ...
Working Paper
The Geography of Business Dynamism and Skill Biased Technical Change
This paper seeks to explain several key components of the growing regional disparities in the U.S. since 1980: big cities saw a larger increase in the relative wages and relative supply of skilled workers, and a smaller decline in business dynamism. These trends can be explained by differences across cities in the extent to which firms adopt new skill-biased technologies. With the introduction of a new skill-biased, high fixed cost but low marginal cost technology, firms endogenously adopt more in big cities, cities that offer abundant amenities for high-skilled workers and cities that ...
Journal Article
Child Poverty Rates in the Eighth District and Beyond
Child poverty and income volatility are higher in the Fed’s Eighth District than in the rest of the country, but the 2021 child tax credit could help alleviate these issues.
Journal Article
Inflation and Shipping Costs
Imports that are more reliant on ocean freight have seen higher import price inflation since the start of the pandemic.
Journal Article
Information and Communications Technology Spending and City Size
Firms in big cities are spending more on information and communications technology than firms in small cities, a likely cause of the growing economic divide between big and small U.S. cities.
Journal Article
Business Dynamism and City Size
Business dynamism has been decreasing since the 1980s, but less so for larger cities.
Working Paper
Inequality in the Welfare Costs of Disinflation
We use an incomplete markets economy to quantify the distribution of welfare gains and losses of the US “Volcker” disinflation. In the long run households prefer low inflation, but disinflation requires a transition period and a redistribution from net nominal borrowers to net nominal savers. Welfare costs may be significant for households with nominal liabilities. When calibrated to match the micro and macro moments of the early 1980s high-inflation environment and the actual changes in the nominal interest rate and inflation during the Volcker disinflation, nearly 60 percent of all ...
Journal Article
How College Attainment Differs by Birthplace
Data from 1990 and 2018 show the effect birthplace may have on educational attainment, inside and outside the Federal Reserve’s Eighth District.