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Working Paper
An econometric analysis of U.S. oil demand
Journal Article
Texas to remain a top state for job growth in 2014
The economy continued to expand broadly, with employment in oil and gas, leisure and hospitality, professional and business services, and construction growing strongly.
Journal Article
Exchange rates and world oil prices
Journal Article
The Texas index of leading economic indicators: a revision and further evaluation
In this article, Keith R. Phillips revises the Texas index of leading economic indicators that he introduced two years ago. He does so in response to recent structural changes in the state economy and the availability of new data. The Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas has produced the Texas leading index monthly since July 1988. ; Using a newly developed technique for evaluating leading indexes, Phillips finds that the revised Texas leading index has performed well in predicting movements in the Texas economy since 1981. He also finds that monthly revisions in the leading index are generally ...
Journal Article
Can cities control their destiny?
Journal Article
Efficient methods to achieve clean air
Journal Article
Regional update : U.S. slowdown reaches Texas
Journal Article
Recession arrives in Texas: a rougher ride in 2009
Through much of 2008, the Texas economy continued to expand while the nation fell into recession. Growth in the energy and high-tech sectors and rising home prices were key factors in making Texas' economy one of the nation's strongest. ; In the last half of the year, however, the state's economic conditions deteriorated rapidly. The weakening was primarily due to the deepening global financial crisis and sharp declines in energy prices, high-tech activity and exports. ; Indicators suggest Texas trailed the official December 2007 start of the U.S. recession by at least six months. So far, the ...
Journal Article
Texas economy to ride higher in the saddle in 2011
The Texas economy grew moderately in 2010, outperforming most other states. Jobs increased by 209,000, a growth rate of about 2 percent?near the state?s average pace since 1980. Strength in the high-tech and energy sectors was an important source of Texas? economic might relative to other parts of the country. The state also suffered less from housing price declines. ; Leading indicators, generally positive at the end of 2010, suggest an improving outlook in 2011 as consumers and businesses regain confidence in the economy. The Dallas Fed forecasting model projects Texas job growth of 2.5 ...