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Journal Article
Colorado’s Distinct Trends in Affordable Housing Development
Low-Income Housing Tax Credits (LIHTC) are among the most common financing tools for the development of affordable housing units. Over the past 15 years, the development of LIHTC-funded housing units decelerated nationwide but accelerated in Colorado.
Journal Article
Global capital flows from China
Jun Nie and Nicholas Sly examine recent trends in capital flows from China and the implications for the United States.
Journal Article
Regional Firms Are Disagreeing About How to React to Current Economic Conditions
There is an increased level of disagreement among firms about their respective economic outlooks in the Tenth District region. As heightened levels of disagreement are historically associated with softening employment, this could have implications for economic conditions moving forward.
Journal Article
Global Uncertainty in the Wake of Brexit
Hakkio and Sly find that increased global uncertainty after Brexit will be a major concern for the United Kingdom, a modest concern for the euro area, and a minor concern for the United States.
Journal Article
Why Are Multifamily Property Prices Falling?
Multifamily property prices climbed to record levels in recent years amid low interest rates and surging housing demand. More recently, prices have retreated in the face of higher interest rates, slower rent growth, elevated operating expenses, and increased delivery of new units available for rent. However, the deterioration in these fundamentals does not fully explain recent property price declines, suggesting investors’ near-term outlooks have been pessimistic.
Journal Article
Labor Market Improvement and the Use of Subsidized Housing Programs
The authors estimated how state-level changes in labor market conditions for particular sex, age, and race groups affect participation in a variety of subsidized housing programs.
Journal Article
A Reader’s Digest: Uncertainty and the Outlook
Economic and policy developments are emerging rapidly, substantial differences in responses to these developments are evident across businesses and sectors, and uncertainty about their implications for the outlook is elevated. Recognizing these circumstances, this article provides a digest of work by Kansas City Fed researchers on how uncertainty can influence the outlook and highlights recent activities of regional businesses in the wake of heightened uncertainty.
Working Paper
The Multinational Wage Premium and Wage Dynamics
Using detailed administrative data linking French firms and workers over the years 2002-2007, we document a distinct U-shaped pattern in worker-level wages surrounding the time their employer is acquired by a foreign firm, with a dip in earnings observed in years just before domestic firms switch to MNE status. The dip in earnings is evident in both wages and in-kind payments given to workers. {{p}} To guide our empirical approach, we present a model with fair wage considerations among workers and endogenous cross-border acquisition activity among heterogeneous firms that predicts this ...
Journal Article
Global Supply Chain Disruptions Can Be Seen Anywhere, but Their Costs Are Not the Same Everywhere
Although ubiquitous, supply chain challenges are exerting more cost pressures on the types of businessesconcentrated in the Tenth Federal Reserve District. Businesses in the region are less willing or able to adjustthe amount of imported goods they purchase even when procurement prices rise precipitously, as they have over the past year.
Working Paper
Is the AI Boom Volatility-Biased Technological Change?
We show that AI technologies are oriented toward jobs and workers that typically exhibit greater volatility in labor market outcomes over the business cycle. Occupations currently most exposed to AI are those that have historically exhibited (i) greater volatility in employment levels over business cycles, (ii) higher job-switching rates by workers, (iii) higher job-finding rates, and (iv) a lower likelihood for workers to exit the labor force following a job loss. The sectors of the U.S. economy that produce AI technologies have also historically exhibited high volatility in productivity. We ...