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Journal Article
Currency boards: monetary magic?
Journal Article
There are two sides to every (employment redistribution) story!
Journal Article
Capital deepening
Working Paper
What happens when the technology growth trend changes?: transition dynamics, capital growth and the "new economy"
The rapid increase in U.S. economic growth during the late 1990s inspired speculation that an acceleration in the rate of technological progress had given rise to an increase in potential output growth. This paper considers the transition dynamics associated with such a change using a general equilibrium framework that incorporates stochastic growth trends. The model suggests that transition dynamics associated with a shift in the technological growth trend can have important implications for macroeconomic growth patterns, particularly when technological change is investment-specific. ...
Working Paper
R&D spending and cyclical fluctuations: putting the "technology" in technology shocks
We examine the dynamic properties of an endogenous growth model with an explicit R&D sector in order to evaluate its ability to propagate temporary disturbances into persistent fluctuations in macroeconomic variables. We demonstrate that a large proportion of the variability and persistence of measured Solow residuals can be thought of as reflecting the endogenous accumulation and adaptation of technical knowledge rather than simply exogenous processes. By explicitly modeling R&D, we use a framework in which it is possible to explicitly consider the role of technology in "technology shocks."
Journal Article
Future oil
Journal Article
Comparing apples and oranges
Tracking prices over time is easy when the object in question doesn't change much-say, an orange. But the process is difficult when there are frequent changes in the quality of the item-say, an Apple computer. Hedonics provides the solution.
Journal Article
Monetary policy in jobless recoveries
Journal Article
M1A - M.I.A.?
An examination of the compositional changes in the monetary aggregates M1 and M1A, with a discussion of their behavior in the 1980s and some issues relevant to the possibility of replacing M1 with M1A in the monetary targeting framework.
Journal Article
The U.S. trade deficit and the "new economy"
Amidst the overall strength and longevity of the U.S. economic expansion of the 1990s, a growing current account deficit is one indicator that often is viewed with concern. In this article, Michael Pakko discusses some basic economic principles about current accounts and how they relate to the U.S. experience during the 1990s. He suggests that recent deficits should not be thought of as a source of weakness in an otherwise vigorous economy, but rather, that they are reflective of the same forces underlying recent economic strength.