Search Results
Journal Article
Making the SAIF safe for taxpayers
A presentation of some of the options for recapitalizing the Savings Association Insurance Fund, with particular emphasis on merging it into the FDIC's Bank Insurance Fund.
Working Paper
Debt, collateral, and U.S. manufacturing investment: 1954-1980
I perform an empirical analysis of Euler equations for the firm's choices of capital, labor, hours, and debt. Financial structure has real effects , since taxes favor debt. However, the cost of debt increases with the debt-to-collateral ratio, and capital is part of collateral. The data, for U.S. manufacturing investment from 1954 to 1980, show that the debt-to-collateral ratio moves opposite to the direction suggested by tax rates. However, excluding the Euler equation for debt implies the correct sign for the relation between investment and the debt-to-collateral ratio. I also find ...
Working Paper
Tobin's Q, investment, and endogenous adjustment of financial structure
An analysis of a q model of investment in which financial structure affects firm value, using a perfect foresight model of general equilibrium that includes a debt-related agency cost; uses the comparative statics and dynamics of changing the corporate tax rate as an illustration.
Journal Article
New results on the rationality of survey measures of exchange-rate expectations
In light of research questioning the usefulness of economists' models of exchange-rate determination, this paper investigates the rationality of survey measures of expectations for Deutschmark/dollar exchange rates for 1989-97. Using Liu and Maddala's (1992) "restricted cointegration" test, the author cannot reject the assumption that survey measures are unbiased exchange-rate forecasts. This finding is related to market participants' anticipation of the impact of economic policies.
Journal Article
Banking consolidation and correspondent banking
Banking consolidation, spurred by interstate branching deregulation, is changing markets' competitive structure. Policymakers and regulators have focused on the implications for customers in retail and wholesale markets rather than consolidation's impact on correspondent banking markets (where banks buy and sell inputs used to produce banking services). By studying the era of intrastate branching deregulation, the authors provide some insights on the implications of interstate branching for correspondent banking.
Working Paper
Deposit insurance and the cost of capital
The impacts of deposit insurance and forbearance on the costs and value of uninsured deposits and equity capital are shown under three regimes.
Working Paper
Optimal financial structure and bank capital requirements: an empirical investigation
This paper presents an empirical analysis of the determinants of the leverage ratios (the book value of liabilities divided by the total of the book value of liabilities' and the market value of equity) for 232 bank holding companies for December 1986, June 1987, and December 1987. Many theoretical models of bank behavior assume that bank capital requirements will be binding, and empirical research has generally shown that almost all- banks will meet capital guidelines. However, if the optimal leverage ratios differ among banks, then banks' responses to changes in capital requirements or to ...
Working Paper
An analysis of causal relations among inflation, financial structure, Tobin's Q and investment
An examination of the short- and long-run effects of inflation on financial markets and investment.
Journal Article
SAIF policy options
An outline of three possible options for capitalizing the Savings Association Insurance Fund, which is in danger of suffering a huge premium disadvantage compared to banks insured by the Bank Insurance Fund, and a recommendation that any solution should first consider the policy objectives for maintaining separately chartered housing finance lenders.
Working Paper
The risk premium in forward foreign exchange markets and G-3 central bank intervention: evidence of daily effects, 1985-1990
Evidence that forward rates for foreign exchange are not unbiased forecasts of future spot rates suggests a time-varying risk premium. However, there is little evidence that the forecast error is related to fundamentals, although most investigations have lacked high-frequency data. In this paper, we use daily exchange-rate and official Federal Reserve intervention data to test for an impact of intervention on the forecast error. This paper extends recent analyses of daily changes in exchange rates by Baillie and Bollersev (1989) and Hsieh (1989) to the daily forward-rate forecast errors for ...