Discussion Paper
Disinflation Progress: A Comparison of Advanced Economies
de Soyres, Francois; Lofstrom, Grace; Lott, Mitch; Machol, Chris; Saijid, Zina (2024-08-02)
Following several decades of low inflation in most advanced economies, the Covid pandemic gave rise to unprecedented global economic conditions, materializing in a synchronized surge in price pressures. In this note, we analyze the recent inflation burst and assess the disinflation progress across advanced economies.
FEDS Notes , Paper 2024-08-02-5

Discussion Paper
An investigation into the economic slowdown in the euro area
de Soyres, Francois; Fisgin, Ece; Garcia-Cabo, Joaquin; Lott, Mitch; Machol, Chris; Richards, Keith (2024-12-20)
Euro-area economic performance has been subdued since around 2018, and especially so in more recent years. As discussed in both Enrico Letta's and Mario Draghi's reports, the euro area economy faces notable structural challenges that were exacerbated by the pandemic and the disruption to energy markets that ensued from the Russian invasion of Ukraine.
FEDS Notes , Paper 2024-12-20-1

Discussion Paper
Real-Time Global Longer-Run Neutral Rates
Ferreira, Thiago Revil T.; Lott, Mitch; Richards, Keith (2025-04-09)
In this note, we provide updated real-time estimates for global longer-run real neutral interest rates – the real component of policy interest rates consistent with both economic activity and inflation at their longer-run trends. We use the methods from Davin and Ferreira (2022) and Ferreira and Shousha (2023) for the same variety of economies.
FEDS Notes , Paper 2025-04-09