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Journal Article
Estimated rules for monetary policy
Estimated policy rules describe how monetary policy has responded in the past to key economic indicators. Such rules can be used to evaluate past decisions and help guide the appropriate path for current policy. ; However, there may be unique features of a given economic situation?such as the current binding zero lower bound on interest rates and the desire to manage downside risk to economic activity?that warrant flexibility in following any rule based on past performance. ; Kahn estimates what rules best describe past monetary policies that coincided with periods of favorable economic ...
Journal Article
The Greenspan era : lessons for the future : a summary of the Bank's 2005 Economic Symposium
During Alan Greenspan?s years at the helm of the Federal Reserve System, the global economy has undergone significant structural change and withstood a variety of financial and economic shocks. In addition to helping steer the global economy through such challenges, Chairman Greenspan has been at the center of discussions on monetary policy ideas and issues. To honor Alan Greenspan?s service, the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City sponsored an economic symposium to explore several of these ideas and issues that will continue to challenge central bankers for years to come. The symposium was ...
Journal Article
Global economic integration : opportunities and challenges : a summary of the Bank's 2000 Symposium
The increasingly integrated global economy presents policymakers with both opportunities and challenges. Global economic integration is widely thought to improve the allocation of resources, promote technology transfer, and enhance living standards. But, at the same time, economic integration has frequently been blamed for growing trade imbalances, increased financial market volatility, and less effective domestic macroeconomic policies.> To better understand how policymakers can maximize the benefits from globalization while recognizing the challenges, the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City ...
Journal Article
Achieving price stability: a summary of the Bank's 1996 symposium
Central banks throughout the world are moving to adopt long-run price stability as their primary goal. Whether operating with multiple short-run goals or legislative mandates for price stability, virtually all central banks have recognized the desirability of achieving price stability over time. Countries with moderate to high inflation are adopting policies to reduce inflation, and countries with low inflation are adopting policies to achieve and maintain price stability.> To better understand how central banks can best reduce inflation and what policies and operating procedures should be ...
Journal Article
Understanding Hawks and Doves
How do hawks and doves on the Federal Open Market Committee differ in their views of appropriate monetary policy and their related projections for inflation and unemployment? We find that hawks project higher inflation despite building tighter policy paths into their projections. Doves project lower inflation despite having easier policy paths, although their projections are somewhat closer to the median. In addition, hawks see a steeper inflation-unemployment tradeoff than doves up to a one-year horizon.
Journal Article
Lessons from West German monetary policy
Journal Article
Dollar depreciation and inflation
Journal Article
The changing interest sensitivity of the U.S. economy
Journal Article
Labor compensation and inflation
Journal Article
The role of money in monetary policy: why do the Fed and ECB see it so differently?
Monetary policymakers and central banks universally recognize that, in the long run, inflation is strictly determined by monetary policy. However, they disagree sharply about the role of monetary aggregates in the conduct of monetary policy. ; These differences in views are reflected in the way the Federal Reserve and the ECB conduct monetary policy and communicate with the public. At the Federal Reserve, the Federal Open Market Committee no longer specifies targets or monitoring ranges for the monetary aggregates, and committee members seldom mention the aggregates in their deliberations. In ...