Search Results
Conference Paper
Loss underreporting and the auditing role of bank exams
Using a unique set of banking data containing both originally reported and subsequently revised financial variables, we study the incidence of adverse revisions to accounting statements. As might be expected, our findings indicate banks are more likely to underreport financial losses when their financial performance is substandard. In addition, we provide evidence that supervisory exams have an important role in uncovering financial problems and ensuring bank accounting statements reflect them. Specifically, our estimations point to a significant auditing effect, through which exams can lead ...
Journal Article
Has the housing boom increased mortgage risk?
Journal Article
Between a rock and a hard place: the CRA-safety and soundness pinch
A statistical model of regulatory exam ratings provides evidence of conflict between Community Reinvestment Act (CRA) objectives, on one side, and safety and soundness standards, on the other. In his analysis of supervisory goals, Jeff Gunther finds that concentrating bank assets in loans and managing capital at relatively low levels tend to help CRA ratings while hurting CAMEL ratings. Also, banks with financial problems are more likely to receive substandard CRA ratings, even though a shift in resources away from CRA objectives may be necessary to facilitate financial recovery. These ...
Journal Article
Can the stock market tell bank supervisors anything they don't already know?
This article provides evidence consistent with recent policy proposals calling for a greater role for market forces in promoting a safe and sound financial system. The authors' empirical results indicate a measure of expected default probability distilled from equity prices helps predict the financial condition of individual banking organizations, as reflected in their supervisory ratings. Moreover, the stock market data have predictive power over and above the information in the quarterly financial statements available to supervisors between inspections. These findings suggest financial ...
Journal Article
Small banks' competitors loom large
Working Paper
Separating the likelihood and timing of bank failure
Working Paper
Separating the likelihood and timing of bank failure
Journal Article
Financiers of the world, disunite
When large in number, intermediaries—even those reputed for high risk and correlated strategies—exhibit substantial diversity that adds an important element of stability to the financial system.