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Author:Gavin, William T. 

Journal Article
Household wealth: has it recovered?

Adjusting for inflation, population growth, and a risk-free real interest rate shows there is still a substantial gap between the peak of household wealth in 2007 and the level today.
Economic Synopses

Journal Article
The short-run dynamics of long-run inflation policy

An examination of the short- and long-term implications of an inflation policy on real output, using a method that allows structural interpretation of a simple VAR applied to a macroeconomic system that includes real output and inflation.
Economic Review , Volume 26 , Issue Q III , Pages 26-35

Journal Article
More money: understanding recent changes in the monetary base

The financial crisis that began in the summer of 2007 took a turn for the worse in September 2008. Until then, Federal Reserve actions taken to improve the functioning financial markets did not affect the monetary base. The unusual lending and purchase of private debt was offset by the sale of Treasury securities so that the total size of the balance sheet of the Fed remained relatively unchanged. In September, however, the Fed stopped selling securities as it made massive purchases of private debt and issued hundreds of billions of dollars in short-term loans. The result was a doubling of ...
Review , Volume 91 , Issue Mar , Pages 49-60

Journal Article
PPI versus CPI inflation

National Economic Trends , Issue Feb

Journal Article
M2 and 'reigniting inflation'

Monetary Trends , Issue Jun

Journal Article
Are low interest rates good for consumers?

Although banks' cost of funds has dropped dramatically with the federal funds rate target, households' cost of funds has remained high, especially if we look at their cost of borrowing relative to their rate of return on saving.
Economic Synopses

Working Paper
Zero inflation: transition costs and shoe-leather benefits

A comparison showing that the transition costs of indexing inflation (a major obstacle to monetary policy reform) are approximately equal to the minor shoe-leather benefits of having price stability.
Working Papers (Old Series) , Paper 9113

Journal Article
Commodity futures index trading and spot oil prices

Politicians, market participants, and economists have argued about whether the increased trading induced by the growth of index funds over the past decade is a cause of high commodity prices.
Economic Synopses

Journal Article
How money matters

Monetary Trends , Issue Jun

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