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Author:Garrett, Thomas A. 

Working Paper
Does government spending really crowd out charitable contributions? new time series evidence

We exploit the time series properties of charitable giving data to provide additional insights into the crowding out of charitable contributions in response to government spending. We find that the short-run and long-run government spending and charitable giving relationships are quite different - the long run relationship appears to be largely spurious, and estimates of the short-run relationship provide only weak evidence of crowding out. We also find that system estimation can improve upon the efficiency of single equation models used in previous works. Our results support the prestige ...
Working Papers , Paper 2007-012

Working Paper
Evaluating state tax revenue variability: a portfolio approach

State revenue variability is evaluated using a volatility model rooted in portfolio theory. The model evaluates how closely a state's revenue portfolio is constructed to minimize variability in total state tax revenue. The model complements parametric methods of revenue variability.
Working Papers , Paper 2006-008

Working Paper
Political allocation of U.S. agriculture disaster payments in the 1990s

Legislation passed during the 1990s attempted to move U.S. agriculture disaster relief to a more market oriented process. The failure of this legislation has been attributed to the political system behind agricultural disaster relief. This paper explores the impact of political influence on the allocation of U.S. direct agriculture disaster payments. The results reveal that disaster payments are not based solely on need, but are higher in those states represented by public officials key to the allocation of relief. The effectiveness of legislation aimed at promoting more efficient disaster ...
Working Papers , Paper 2003-005

Journal Article
Taxing electronic commerce: boon or boondoggle?

National Economic Trends , Issue Jan

Journal Article
State balanced-budget and debt rules

Balanced-budget rules alone are not sufficient to ensure states? long-term fiscal health.
Economic Synopses

Working Paper
Regional disparities in the spatial correlation of state income growth

This paper presents new evidence of spatial correlation in U.S. state income growth. We extend the basic spatial econometric model used in the growth literature by allowing spatial correlation in state income growth to vary across geographic regions. We find positive spatial correlation in income growth rates across neighboring states, but that the strength of this spatial correlation varies considerably by region. Spatial correlation in income growth is highest for states located in the Northeast and the South. Our findings have policy implications both at the state and national level, and ...
Working Papers , Paper 2005-061

Working Paper
Input inefficiency in commercial banks: a normalized quadratic input distance approach

A normalized quadratic input distance function is proposed with which to estimate technical efficiency on commercial banks regulated by the Federal Reserve System. The study period covers 1990 to 2000 using individual bank information from the Call and Banking Holding Company Database. A stochastic frontier model is specified to estimate the input normalized distance function and obtain measures of technical efficiency.
Working Papers , Paper 2003-036

Journal Article
Light rail: boon or boondoggle?

Proponents of such mass transit recite a litany of benefits, but the cost to taxpayers is high.>
The Regional Economist , Issue Jul , Pages 12-13

Working Paper
Personal-bankruptcy cycles

This paper estimates the dynamics of the personal-bankruptcy rate over the business cycle by exploiting large cross-state variation in recessions and bankruptcies. We find that bankruptcy rates are significantly higher than normal during a recession and rise as a recession persists. After a recession ends, there is a hangover whereby bankruptcy rates begin to fall but remain above normal for several more quarters. Recovery periods see a strong bounce-back effect with bankruptcy rates significantly below normal for several quarters. Despite the significant increases in bankruptcies that occur ...
Working Papers , Paper 2010-010

Journal Article
Stop paying more for less: ways to boost productivity in higher education

College tuition has increased dramatically over the past decade, yet few think the quality of graduates has kept up. Decentralizing the administration and privatizing such things as housing and food service would boost productivity, as would ditching tenure and improving teaching.
The Regional Economist , Issue Jan , Pages 4-9

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