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Author:Duffee, Gregory R. 

Working Paper
Treasury yields and corporate bond yield spreads: an empirical analysis

This paper empirically examines the relation between the Treasury term structure and spreads of investment grade corporate bond yields over Treasuries. I find that noncallable bond yield spreads fall when the level of the Treasury term structure rises. The extent of this decline depends on the initial credit quality of the bond; the decline is small for Aaa-rated bonds and large for Baa-rated bonds. The role of the business cycle in generating this pattern is explored, as is the link between yield spreads and default risk. I also argue that yield spreads based on commonly-used bond yield ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series , Paper 96-20

Working Paper
A primer on program trading and stock price volatility: a survey of the issues and the evidence

Finance and Economics Discussion Series , Paper 109

Working Paper
What's good for GM...? Using auto industry stock returns to forecast business cycles and test the Q-theory of investment

Working Papers , Paper 9610

Working Paper
Idiosyncratic variation of Treasury bill yields

Finance and Economics Discussion Series , Paper 94-28

Working Paper
Asymmetric cross-sectional dispersion in stock returns: evidence and implications

This paper documents that daily stock returns of both firms and industries are more dispersed when the overall stock market rises than when it falls. This positive relation is conceptually distinct from - and appears unrelated to - asymmetric return correlations. I argue that the source of the relation is positive skewness in sector-specific return shocks. I use this asymmetric behavior to explain a previously-observed puzzle: aggregate trading volume tends to be higher on days when the stock market rises than when it falls. The idea proposed here is that trading is more active on days when ...
Working Paper Series , Paper 2000-18

Working Paper
The importance of market psychology in the determination of stock market volatility

Finance and Economics Discussion Series , Paper 115

Working Paper
A new test for mean reversion in stock prices

Finance and Economics Discussion Series , Paper 152

Working Paper
A securities transactions tax: beyond the rhetoric, what can we really say?

Finance and Economics Discussion Series , Paper 133

Working Paper
Reexamining the relationship between stock returns and stock return volatility

Finance and Economics Discussion Series , Paper 191

Conference Paper
Rethinking risk management for banks: lessons from credit derivatives

Proceedings , Paper 514

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