How Uneven Were the Labor Market Recoveries across U.S. States?
Arbogast, Iris; Dupor, Bill (2022-02-10)
Some states finished 2021 with unemployment rates below their pre-pandemic levels, while most had rates still above levels before COVID-19.
On the Economy

The End of Emergency Pandemic Unemployment Benefits in 2021
Arbogast, Iris; Dupor, Bill (2022-04-07)
Although many saw the $300 weekly add-on as the key disincentive to work, the large drop in benefit recipients was driven primarily by the halt in other federal jobless programs.
On the Economy

Journal Article
Employment Effects of Pandemic Emergency Unemployment Benefits: Incentives Matter
Dupor, Bill; Arbogast, Iris (2022-08-04)
The employment effects of halting programs that granted emergency unemployment benefits during the pandemic were substantial and differed across age groups.
The Regional Economist

Journal Article
World Population: What Helps Explain the Explosion?
Ravikumar, B.; Arbogast, Iris (2022-09-15)
A steep decline in India’s death rate from 1950 to 2019 substantially affected the size of the global population and reduced that nation’s median age relative to the U.S.
The Regional Economist

Journal Article
Working from Home: More Americans Are Telecommuting
Gascon, Charles S.; Arbogast, Iris; Spewak, Andrew (2019)
Americans who primarily work from home represented 3% of full-time employees in 2017, up from 0.7% in 1980.
The Regional Economist , Volume 27 , Issue 3

Working Paper
The Jobs Effect of Ending Pandemic Unemployment Benefits: A State-Level Analysis
Dupor, Bill; Arbogast, Iris (2023-02-08)
This paper uses the asynchronous cessation of emergency unemployment benefits (EUB) in 2021 to investigate the jobs impact of ending unemployment benefits. While some states stopped providing EUB in September, others stopped as early as June. Using the cessation month as an instrument, we estimate the effect on employment of reducing unemployment rolls. In the second month following a state’s program termination, for every 100 person reduction in beneficiaries, state employment causally increased by about 27 persons. The effect is statistically different from zero and robust to a wide array ...
Working Papers , Paper 2022-010

Journal Article
Long-Term Trends in Gasoline Prices
Ravikumar, B.; Arbogast, Iris (2022-06-17)
Average annual CPI inflation from 1990 to 2021 was 2.4%, while average annual gasoline price inflation was 3.9%.
Economic Synopses , Issue 14 , Pages 1-2

Journal Article
How to Jump-Start Industrialization in Sub-Saharan Africa
Wen, Yi; Arbogast, Iris (2021-05-27)
Most sub-Saharan nations are poor and a long way from full-scale industrialization. However, certain policies could help spur their economic development.
The Regional Economist

Not All Bursting Market Bubbles Have the Same Recessionary Effect
Wen, Yi; Arbogast, Iris (2021-02-15)
The popped IT bubble ushered in an eight-month recession in 2001. The burst housing bubble resulted in the Great Recession (2007-09). Why the difference?
On the Economy

Journal Article
Geographic Dispersion in U.S. Employment
Ravikumar, B.; LaBelle, Jesse; Arbogast, Iris (2022-04-04)
In the U.S., 112 of more than 3,000 counties accounted for 50% of employment in 2020.
Economic Synopses , Issue 9 , Pages 1-2