Report

The equity risk premium: a review of models


Abstract: We estimate the equity risk premium (ERP) by combining information from twenty models. The ERP in 2012 and 2013 reached heightened levels?of around 12 percent?not seen since the 1970s. We conclude that the high ERP was caused by unusually low Treasury yields.

Keywords: equity premiums; stock returns;

JEL Classification: C58; G00; G12; G17;

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Provider: Federal Reserve Bank of New York

Part of Series: Staff Reports

Publication Date: 2015-02-01

Number: 714