Journal Article

Can state employment declines foretell national business cycles?


Abstract: An investigation of whether it is possible to predict national recessions by following the employment performance of specific states or regions. The author compares state employment patterns to the health of the national economy over the post-WWII period.

Keywords: Employment (Economic theory); Business cycles; Regional economics;

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Bibliographic Information

Provider: Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland

Part of Series: Economic Commentary

Publication Date: 1990

Issue: Sep

Order Number: 2