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What Does the Fed Look at to Predict Recessions?


Abstract: Accurately predicting recessions is hard to do. But the Fed keeps an eye on a variety of indicators to forecast which way the economy is heading.

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File(s): File format is text/html https://www.stlouisfed.org/open-vault/2018/february/fed-predict-recessions
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File(s): File format is application/pdf https://fraser.stlouisfed.org/title/open-vault-9398/fed-look-predict-recessions-687980
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Provider: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

Publication Date: 2018-02-14