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Using Core Inflation to Predict Headline Inflation
Abstract: An analysis of CPI data suggests that a measure of inflation excluding food and energy and a measure excluding only energy are useful predictors of overall inflation 12 months in the future.
Keywords: core inflation; headline inflation; Consumer Price Index (CPI);
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https://www.stlouisfed.org/on-the-economy/2023/nov/using-core-inflation-predict-headline-inflation
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Bibliographic Information
Provider: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Source: On the Economy
Publication Date: 2023-11-28