Working Paper

Defining and improving the accuracy of macroeconomic forecasts : contributions from a VAR model


Abstract: Thirty years ago it appeared that the best strategy for improving economic forecasts was to build bigger, more detailed models. As the costs of computing plummeted, considerable detail was added to models and more elaborate statistical techniques became feasible.

Keywords: Macroeconomics;

Status: Published in Journal of Business, April 1986, v, 59, no. 2, pp. 263-85.

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Bibliographic Information

Provider: Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond

Part of Series: Working Paper

Publication Date: 1984

Number: 84-06