Discussion Paper

Who Is Driving the Recent Decline in Consumers Inflation Expectations?


Abstract: The expectations of U.S. consumers about inflation have declined to record lows over the past several months. That is the finding of two leading surveys, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s Survey of Consumer Expectations (SCE) and the University of Michigan’s Survey of Consumers (SoC). In this post, we examine whether this decline is broad-based or whether it is driven by specific demographic groups.

Keywords: Expectations; Inflation; Survey;

JEL Classification: D1; E2;

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Bibliographic Information

Provider: Federal Reserve Bank of New York

Part of Series: Liberty Street Economics

Publication Date: 2016-01-05

Number: 20160105