Working Paper Revision
A Quantitative Analysis of Bank Lending Relationships
Abstract: We study the aggregate consequences of sticky lending relationships in a model of heterogeneous banks facing financial frictions. We estimate the model's loan demand system on administrative loan-level data: the market power implied by the estimated strength and persistence of relationships yields a long run reduction in credit of 4.1%. Relationships amplify the negative real effects of credit supply shocks, but mute those of negative credit demand shocks. In a financial crisis which wipes out 25% of bank net worth, for example, loan volume drops 36% more in our baseline model than in a competitive analog with no relationships, but banks recapitalize faster.
Keywords: banking; lending relationships; aggregate dynamics;
https://doi.org/10.20955/wp.2022.033
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Provider: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Part of Series: Working Papers
Publication Date: 2024-08-23
Number: 2022-033
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