A new framework for assessing climate change risk in financial markets

Alvarez, Nahiomy; Cocco, Alessandro; Patel, Ketan B.

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A new framework for assessing climate change risk in financial markets

Abstract: While there is growing recognition that climate change poses a new risk for the economy, more research is needed to understand how climate change risk affects global financial markets. We establish a new framework for this research by merging the climate change risk categories of physical risk, transition risk, and liability risk with the risk categories commonly assessed in the financial markets: market risk, credit risk, liquidity risk, and operational risk. We then factor in market structure and market regulation as we seek to assess the overall impact of these variables on systemic risk. Our framework shows that climate change affects each of the risk-management categories commonly assessed in the financial markets as well as the ways that they interact to generate broader systemic risk.

Keywords: Financial markets and the macro economy; international financial markets; Renewable Resources and Conservation; Climate; Natural Disasters and Their Management; Global Warming;

JEL Classification: E44; G15; Q20; Q54;