Discussion Paper

Recession Risk and the Excess Bond Premium


Abstract: In this FEDS Note, we evaluate the information content for recession risk of a component of credit spreads that is not directly attributable to expected default risk and thus to news about future cash flows.

https://doi.org/10.17016/2380-7172.1739

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Bibliographic Information

Provider: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.)

Part of Series: FEDS Notes

Publication Date: 2016-04-08

Number: 2016-04-08