Working Paper
Five Open Questions about Prediction Markets
Abstract: Interest in prediction markets has increased in the last decade, driven in part by the hope that these markets will prove to be valuable tools in forecasting, decisionmaking and risk management–in both the public and private sectors. This paper outlines five open questions in the literature, and we argue that resolving these questions is crucial to determining whether current optimism about prediction markets will be realized.
JEL Classification: C9; D7; D8; G1; M2;
https://doi.org/10.24148/wp2006-06
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Bibliographic Information
Provider: Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
Part of Series: Working Paper Series
Publication Date: 2006-01-01
Number: 2006-06
Note: PDF date: January 21, 2006.