Journal Article

Are Inflation Expectations Currently Well Anchored?


Abstract: The response of market-based long-run inflation expectations to monetary policy is one measure of the perceived credibility of the central bank’s inflation target—its “nominal anchor.” The strength of the nominal anchor in the United States has varied over time between 1999 and 2026, with the post-2022 trajectory suggesting an increasingly strong anchor. This channel may support monetary policy in returning inflation to its 2% target.

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Bibliographic Information

Provider: Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco

Part of Series: FRBSF Economic Letter

Publication Date: 2026-11-09

Volume: 2026

Issue: 32

Pages: 6