Tracking Business Sentiment in the Western United States

Abdelrahman, Hamza; Oliveira, Luiz E.; Poduri, Aditi

Journal Article

Tracking Business Sentiment in the Western United States

Abstract: Information the San Francisco Fed collects from businesses and community sources for the Beige Book provides timely insights into economic activity at both the national and regional levels. Two new indexes based on Beige Book questionnaire responses track business sentiment across the western United States. The indexes track data on economic activity and inflation, serving as early indicators of official data releases and helping improve near-term forecasting accuracy. The latest index readings suggest weakening economic growth and intensifying inflationary pressures over the coming months.